www.ctbto.org
ctbto Magazine issue 16 | May 2011
ctbto
SpectruM
COMPREHENSIVE
NUCLEAR-TEST-BAN
TREATY: SCIENCE
AND TECHNOLOgY
2
11
8 to 10 June 2011
Hofburg Palace
Vienna, Austria
A scientific conference
Addressing the
following themes:
1 The Earth as
a complex system
2 Understanding the nuclear
explosion source
3 Advances in sensors,
networks, and observational
technologies
4 Advances in computing,
processing, and visualization
for verification applications
5 Creating knowledge through
partnerships, training and
information/communication
technology
speciAl session
The 11 March Japanese
event and its aftermath
For more information please see
www.ctbto.org
ctbto spectrum issue 16 may 2011
16
sWitzerLanD’s PresiDent anD
Minister of foreign affairs
Micheline Calmy-Rey
moving forward
on nuclear non-
proliferation
and disarmament
Her royaL HigHness
Princess Sumaya
bint El Hassan of Jordan
safeguarding
the arab
renaissance
neW zeaLanD’s Minister for
DisarMaMent anD arMs controL
Georgina te Heuheu
the end of
nuclear testing
is within
our reach
The Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT)
bans all nuclear explosions on Earth.
It opened for signature
on 24 September 1996 in New York.
As of October 2010, 182 countries had signed the Treaty and
153 had ratified it. Of the 44 nuclear capable States which
must ratify the CTBT for it to enter into force, the so-called
Annex 2 countries, 35 have done so to date while nine have
yet to ratify: China, the Democratic People's Republic of
Korea, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, Israel, Pakistan and
the United States. On 3 May 2010, Indonesia stated that it had
initiated the CTBT ratification process.
The Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-
Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) consists of the States
Signatories and the Provisional Technical Secretariat.
The main tasks of the CTBTO are to promote signatures
and ratifications and to establish a global verification regime
capable of detecting nuclear explosions underground,
underwater and in the atmosphere.
The regime must be operational when the Treaty enters
into force. It will consist of 337 monitoring facilities
supported by an International Data Centre and
on-site inspection measures.
COVER IMAGE:
Pattreeya Thapanapaha
investigates a problem with
the VSAT link of the Global
Communications Infrastructure,
Vienna. Austria.
Photo: Marianne Weiss
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF:
Annika Thunborg,
Spokesperson and Chief of Public Information
PREPARED, COORDINATED AND EDITED BY:
Denise Brettschneider
CTBTO STAFF CONTRIBUTORS:
Slava Bereza, John Coyne, Emmy Duran,
Florian Egerer, Awoba Macheiner, Reiko Matsuda,
Pablo Mehlhorn, Mika Nikkinen, Vasileios Savvidis,
Spiro Spiliopoulos, Robert Werzi, Samil Yalciner
EXTERNAL CONTRIBUTORS:
Rob DeBirk, the Healthy Environment
Alliance of Utah
LAYOUT:
Todd Vincent
ART DIRECTION:
Michael Balgavy
DISTRIBUTION:
Pablo Mehlhorn
Photographs and illustrations are at the courtesy of the authors
and the Provisional Technical Secretariat.
PLEASE VISIT WWW.CTBTO.ORG
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FOR STOPPING NUCLEAR TESTING
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ONLINE VERSION OF THE CTBTO SPECTRUM
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DISCLAIMER:
The views expressed in articles by external contributors do
not necessarily reflect the positions and policies of the CTBTO
Preparatory Commission.
The boundaries and presentation of material on maps do not
imply the expression of any opinion on the part of the Provisional
Technical Secretariat concerning the legal status of any country,
territory, city or area or its authorities, or concerning the
delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
PUBLISHED BY:
Public Information
Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO)
Vienna International Centre
P.O. Box 1200
1400 Vienna, Austria
T +43 1 26030 6200
F +43 1 26030 5823
E info@ctbto.org
I www.ctbto.org
© 2011 CTBTO Preparatory Commission
CTBTO Spectrum – ISSN: 1680-533X
Printed in Austria, May 2011
on Munken Lynx Paper
wood and acid-free,
certified by the Forest Stewardship Council
TABLE OF CONTENTS
EDITORIAL
CTBTO Spokesperson Annika Thunborg
TREATY STATUS
CTBT signatures and ratifications (as of 16 May 2011)
QUOTES
VOICES
Moving forward on nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament. A view from Switzerland
by Micheline Calmy-Rey, President of the Swiss Confederation and Minister of Foreign Affairs
Safeguarding the Arab Renaissance
by Her Royal Highness Princess Sumaya bint El Hassan of Jordan
The end of nuclear testing is within our reach
by Georgina te Heuheu, New Zealand's Minister for Disarmament and Arms Control
Weapons of mass destruction and conventional disarmament: Scope for Synergy?
by Alyson J.K. Bailes, University of Iceland
STATION STATUS
Certified International Monitoring System facilities (as of 16 May 2011)
VERIFICATION SCIENCE
Global radiation monitoring in the wake of the Fukushima disaster
by Kirsten Haupt and Thomas Mützelburg
Beacons in the nuclear night: Maintaining the health of the International Monitoring System
by Peter Rickwood
Making sense of it all: Three data analysts talk about the challenges
and rewards of working at the International Data Centre
by Denise Brettschneider
A New Link in the Data Chain: The Congo’s National Data Centre is a model for the region
by Misrak Fisseha
INTERVIEW
Portugal and the CTBTO: Going forward together – The importance of putting facility agreements in place
Interview with João Gomes Cravinho, Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs and Cooperation of Portugal
by Lisa Tabassi and Fanny Tonos Paniagua
2
3
4
5
8
11
14
17
18
20
24
29
33
1
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
EDITORIAL
ANNIKA THUNBORG
CTBTO SPOKESPERSON
From 11 March and over the ensuing
weeks, scientists at the Preparatory
Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
(CTBTO) worked around the clock. When
the devastating magnitude 9.0
earthquake struck northern Japan,
CTBTO data contributed to rapid tsunami
warning alerts and tracked the dispersal
of radioactivity from the damaged
Fukushima plant around the world.
The global alarm system of the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty (CTBT) is being set up to scan
the world for any sign of a nuclear
explosion. In the process of detecting
the needle in the haystack – the
nuclear test – the system registers
over 30,000 events a year. This
information can be used for a wide
range of civil purposes, from
enhancing our understanding of the
Earth to following volcanic ash clouds
and the movement of whales.
Our verification regime
demonstrates the synergy between
making the world secure from nuclear
weapons and promoting human
welfare and development.
Several articles in this issue of
CTBTO Spectrum touch upon this
point. They focus on the CTBTO’s
contribution to mitigating the disasters
in Japan, on our dedicated data
analysts who distinguish between
earthquakes and explosions, on the
committed chief who leads the team
that ensures the smooth running of
the CTBT monitoring system, on the
National Data Centre in the Republic
of Congo as a model for the Central
African region, and on why the
Portuguese State Secretary believes
that a facility agreement is one of the
best tools for building up the
verification regime.
International security expert
Alyson Bailes discusses the need for a
related kind of synergy: the one between
weapons of mass destruction and
conventional arms – a topic we will
revisit in a later edition of Spectrum. She
also expresses her hope that future
generations of women will want to focus
on this subject. I echo her sentiments
and trust that in the very near future,
women all over the world will be given
the same opportunities and support as
men to become politicians, diplomats
and experts on non-proliferation and
disarmament as well as scientists and
technical experts in the verification
sciences. Remember that you will receive
a warm welcome at the CTBTO!
In the wake of the Fukushima
disaster, it has become even more
important to focus on the nexus between
nuclear safety and nuclear security, and
on the need to put in place layer upon
layer of mutually reinforcing
international, regional and bilateral
non-proliferation and disarmament
arrangements in order to build a safer
and more secure world. UN Secretary
General Ban Ki-moon has recently
highlighted this nexus as part of his
five-point strategy to improve nuclear
safety. In her article “Safeguarding the
Arab Renaissance”, Princess Sumaya of
Jordan underlines the necessity of
connecting these dots in the Arab world.
We usually associate the CTBT
with peace and security: it is a core
element of nuclear non-proliferation,
a catalyst for nuclear disarmament,
and part and parcel of a nuclear-
weapon-free world. It also prevents
further health and environmental
damage caused by nuclear explosions.
And it can serve as a confidence – and
security-building measure. The
President of Switzerland Micheline
Calmy-Rey and the New Zealand
Disarmament Minister Georgina te
Heuheu elaborate eloquently on these
aspects in their respective articles.
But it is also important to
remember that the CTBT is crucial in
connection with the development of
nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.
Whatever impact the Fukushima
disaster has on the predicted nuclear
renaissance it is a fact that more and
more States are mastering the nuclear
fuel cycle. The decision between using
nuclear energy for peaceful or for
weapons purposes will become more a
political and legal issue rather than
one of technology and know-how. The
CTBT provides the last and clearly
visible barrier between permitted and
prohibited activities – a legal line that
needs to be drawn clearly and
irrevocably.
The CTBTO’s global nature with
its equal and democratic distribution
of data proved to be an important
asset for governments, organizations
and people all over the world during
the Fukushima disaster. The CTBT,
which is equally non-discriminatory
with the same rights and obligations
for all its members, sets a new legal
and verification standard for nuclear
weapons, thus making a great
contribution towards creating a safer
and more secure world.
2
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
STATUS OF SIGNATURES AND RATIFICATIONS
AS OF 16 MAY 2011
AFGHANISTAN
ALGERIA
ANGOLA
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
ARGENTINA
ARMENIA
AUSTRALIA
AUSTRIA
AZERBAIJAN
BAHAMAS
BAHRAIN
BANGLADESH
BARBADOS
BELIZE
BENIN
BHUTAN
BOLIVIA
BOTSWANA
BRAZIL
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
BULGARIA
BURKINA FASO
BURUNDI
CAMBODIA
CAMEROON
CANADA
CAPE VERDE
CENTRAL
AFRICAN
REPUBLIC
CHAD
CHILE
CHINA
COLOMBIA
COMOROS
CONGO
COSTA RICA
CTE D'IVOIRE
CUBA
CYPRUS
CZECH REPUBLIC
DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE`S
REPUBLIC OF KOREA
DEMOCRATIC
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
DJIBOUTI
DOMINICA
DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC
ECUADOR
EGYPT
EL SALVADOR
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
ERITREA
ESTONIA
ETHIOPIA
FIJI
FINLAND
FRANCE
GABON
GAMBIA
GEORGIA
GERMANY
GHANA
GREECE
GRENADA
GUATEMALA
GUINEA
GUINEA-BISSAU
GUYANA
HAITI
HONDURAS
HUNGARY
ICELAND
INDIA
INDONESIA
ISLAMIC REPUBLIC
OF IRAN
IRAQ
ISRAEL
ITALY
JAMAICA
JAPAN
JORDAN
KAZAKHSTAN
KENYA
KIRIBATI
KUWAIT
KYRGYZSTAN
LAO PEOPLE'S
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
LEBANON
LESOTHO
LIBERIA
LIBYAN
ARAB
JAMAHIRIYA
MADAGASCAR
MALAWI
MALAYSIA
MALDIVES
MALI
MAURITANIA
MAURITIUS
MEXICO
MONGOLIA
MOROCCO
MOZAMBIQUE
MYANMAR
NAMIBIA
NEPAL
NETHERLANDS
NEW ZEALAND
NICARAGUA
NIGER
NIGERIA
NORWAY
OMAN
PAKISTAN
PANAMA
PAPUA NEW GUINEA
PARAGUAY
PERU
PHILIPPINES
POLAND
PORTUGAL
QATAR
REPUBLIC
OF KOREA
REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA
ROMANIA
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
RWANDA
SAINT KITTS AND NEVIS
SAINT LUCIA
SAINT VINCENT AND
THE GRENADINES
SAMOA
SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE
SAUDI ARABIA
SENEGAL
SEYCHELLES
SIERRA LEONE
SINGAPORE
SOLOMON ISLANDS
SOMALIA
SOUTH AFRICA
SPAIN
SRI LANKA
SUDAN
SURINAME
SWAZILAND
SWEDEN
SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC
TAJIKISTAN
THAILAND
TOGO
TONGA
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO
TUNISIA
TURKEY
TURKMENISTAN
UGANDA
UKRAINE
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED REPUBLIC
OF TANZANIA
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
URUGUAY
UZBEKISTAN
VANUATU
BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC
OF VENEZUELA
VIET NAM
YEMEN
ZAMBIA
ZIMBABWE
TIMOR-LESTE
COOK ISLANDS
MARSHALL ISLANDS
FEDERATED STATES
OF MICRONESIA
NAURU
NIUE
PALAU
TUVALU
SIGNATORY STATES RATIFYING STATES NON-SIGNATORY STATES
TOTAL STATES: 195 182 153 13
ANNEX 2 STATES: 44 41 35 3
FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ON SIGNATURE AND RATIFICATION VISIT WWW.CTBTO.ORG/MAP
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3
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
«
QUOTES
“Universal ratification of the
test ban treaty would be a step
toward creating a truly global
community of nations, in which
all share the responsibility for
humankind’s future."
PRESIDENT MIKHAIL GORBACHEV
NEW YORK TIMES OP-ED,
28 DECEMBER 2010
“Once again we encourage
all countries which have not
yet done so to sign and ratify
this Treaty [CTBT]. Unilateral
moratoriums on nuclear tests
are useful, but they cannot
substitute for enshrining
this key obligation for global
security in the international
law."
SERGEI LAVROV
RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER,
CONFERENCE ON DISARMAMENT,
GENEVA, SWITZERLAND,
1 MARCH 2011
“The United States and China
underlined their commitment to the
eventual realization of a world without
nuclear weapons and the need to
strengthen the international nuclear
non-proliferation regime to address
the threats of nuclear proliferation
and nuclear terrorism. In this regard,
both sides support early entry into
force of the Comprehensive Nuclear
Test Ban Treaty (CTBT)…”
U.S. CHINA
JOINT STATEMENT
19 JANUARY 2011
“In 2011, as a result of the
shared commitment between
the Government and Parliament,
Indonesia, Insha-Allah, will complete
the ratification process and will
encourage various parties to do the
same so that the CTBT treaty will
soon enter into force.”
MARTY NATALEGAWA
INDONESIA’S FOREIGN MINISTER,
ANNUAL PRESS STATEMENT,
JAKARTA, INDONESIA, 7 JANUARY 2011
“Ratification of the CTBT
represents an essential step on
the path toward a world without
nuclear weapons. We believe
that the national security of the
United States, and all states,
will be enhanced when the test
ban enters into force.”
ROSE GOTTEMOELLER
U.S. ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF
STATE FOR ARMS CONTROL,
VILNIUS UNIVERSITY,
LITHUANIA, 9 FEBRUARY 2011
"We call on China, the United
States, Egypt, Iran, Israel and
Indonesia to ratify, and on India,
Pakistan and North Korea to sign and
ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban
Treaty, that has already been ratified
by 153 nations, so that the Treaty can
be brought into full legal force."
NOBEL PEACE LAUREATES,
FINAL DECLARATION,
11th WORLD SUMMIT, HIROSHIMA,
JAPAN, 14 NOVEMBER 2010
4
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Moving forward
on nuclear
non-proliferation
and disarmament
A view from Switzerland
BY MICHELINE CALMY-REY,
PRESIDENT OF THE SWISS CONFEDERATION
AND MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS, SWITZERLAND
On 5 February 2011, the U.S. Secretary
of State, Hillary Clinton, and the
Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov,
exchanged the instruments of ratification
of the New START on the sidelines of the
Munich Security Conference, officially
bringing the New START into force. This
was an important step towards President
Barack Obama's visionary goal – spelled
out in Prague in April 2009 – of a
nuclear-weapon-free world.
SERIOUS CHALLENGES REMAIN
BEFORE A NUCLEAR-WEAPON-
FREE WORLD CAN BE REALIZED
On the other hand, without denying this
positive development, we have to face
the fact that serious challenges remain on
the road to a nuclear-weapon-free world.
From a broader point of view, Switzerland
remains convinced that one cannot expect
full commitment to the disarmament
process – as well as more concrete
progress – before the international
community can be convinced that:
nuclear weapons are not the
appropriate means to meet the
current security challenges, which
include terrorism, organized crime,
migration, the misuse of information
technology, and financial market
instability or climate change;
nuclear weapons constitute
an existential threat to the
world in themselves. Their very
existence makes them attractive
to proliferators, whether States
or non-State actors, and as a
consequence increases instability
rather than stability; and that
credible long-term security policies
must be based on universal,
non-discriminatory and legally-
binding instruments. In the current
situation, however, the world is
encumbered with a haves and
have-nots approach to nuclear
disarmament.
Just because today the ball seems
to be in the court of the nuclear weapon
States, must the non-nuclear weapon
States give up on the objective of a world
without nuclear weapons? Is nuclear
disarmament an issue for nuclear weapon
States alone? The answer is clearly "no".
We all are stakeholders in our planet’s
survival, and we all have the right – and
the obligation – to get involved in the
nuclear disarmament process.
NUCLEAR WEAPONS ARE
IMMORAL AND ILLEGAL
At the 2010 Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT) Review Conference, I
denounced nuclear weapons as immoral
and illegal. They are fundamentally
VOICES
»Since a nuclear
war would threaten
the very survival of
humankind, a debate
should be launched
on the legitimacy of
the use of nuclear
weapons regardless
of the legitimacy of
the motive of defence
that can be invoked. «
© Philippe Christin
5
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
immoral because they cause massive
and indiscriminate destruction in terms
of human lives, material resources and
consequences for the environment.
They are illegal by their very nature
with regard to international
humanitarian law. Their use
violates without exception all
fundamental principles and rules
of international humanitarian
law. Since a nuclear war would
threaten the very survival of
humankind, a debate should
be launched on the legitimacy
of the use of nuclear weapons
regardless of the legitimacy of
the motive of defence that can be
invoked. We must examine the
question regarding the point at
which the rights of States must
yield to the interests of humanity.
Switzerland, the depositary
of the Geneva Conventions,
feels a special responsibility to bring
the humanitarian perspective back
to the heart of the debate on nuclear
disarmament. To this end, Switzerland
has initiated a study on the subject
of delegitimizing nuclear weapons,
and it has successfully worked for the
inclusion of a reference to international
humanitarian law in the final document
of the last NPT Review Conference.
Switzerland intends to remain actively
engaged in this humanitarian approach.
As a State that gives high priority
to strengthening international peace,
and as one convinced of the importance
of the multilateral framework in this
respect, Switzerland has also recently
developed a range of activities as
intermediate steps in promoting the
vision of a world without nuclear
weapons. Together with Chile, Malaysia,
New Zealand and Nigeria, Switzerland
has tabled proposals to reduce the alert
levels of nuclear weapons. The fact that
hundreds of nuclear weapons remain
on a high alert level, ready to be fired
within minutes, poses a specific and
unacceptable threat. These levels of
alert do not make any sense some 20
years after the end of the Cold War.
They do not correspond to the current
international situation. Switzerland has
thus sponsored a UN General Assembly
resolution on "de-alerting" nuclear
weapons, which was adopted by an
overwhelming majority of States at the
2010 UN General Assembly. Switzerland
will remain active on this issue.
The 2010 NPT Review Conference
also agreed on a comprehensive action
plan on nuclear disarmament, which
includes concrete steps towards the
total elimination of nuclear weapons.
It must now be our aim to ensure
that these commitments are fulfilled.
Their implementation must be closely
monitored and the irreversibility of the
steps taken must be ensured.
One of these commitments is
related to the entry into force of the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
(CTBT). Switzerland was among the
first States to sign and ratify the CTBT.
In addition, in 2003 a Swiss seismic
station was inaugurated as part of the
International Monitoring System to
verify compliance with the Treaty.
SWITZERLAND’S UNWAVERING
SUPPORT FOR THE CTBT
Switzerland’s full support for the
objectives of the CTBT is not only
related to the fact that the Treaty bans
all nuclear tests, anytime, anywhere and
in any form. The CTBT is also intended
to constrain the qualitative development
of nuclear weapons. By limiting the
development of more advanced types of
nuclear weapons, the CTBT prevents the
proliferation of nuclear weapons in all
its aspects. Since the conclusion of the
negotiations on such a treaty was one
of the objectives adopted by the 1995
NPT Review and Extension Conference,
the CTBT also constitutes a guarantee for
maintaining the fundamental commitment
to nuclear disarmament given by the
nuclear weapon States. Furthermore,
with the establishment of a wide-ranging
monitoring system, the Preparatory
Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
(CTBTO) provides the international
community with a tremendous
confidence-building measure. Last, but
not least, if it enters into force, the CTBT
will prevent further potential health and
environmental damage caused by nuclear
test explosions.
Switzerland will thus continue to
spare no effort to promote the entry
into force of the CTBT. In this context,
Switzerland will support the organization
of a special segment focusing on nuclear
disarmament at the upcoming 125th
International Parliamentary Union
Assembly, due to take place in Bern in
October 2011.
It is also important to identify other
areas where additional efforts are needed.
In this context, Switzerland underlines
the field of nuclear doctrines, where the
logic of nuclear deterrence has hardly
evolved since the Cold War. Switzerland
is convinced that a future and sustainable
concept of security must be widened to
include not only military and strategic
aspects but also the economic, energy,
»By limiting the
development of more
advanced types of
nuclear weapons,
the CTBT prevents
the proliferation of
nuclear weapons
in all its aspects. «
6
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Auxiliary seismic station
AS102, Davos, Switzerland
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
MICHELINE CALMY-REY
is President of the Swiss
Confederation, an office she held once
before in 2007. Ms Calmy-Rey has
been a member of the Swiss Federal
Council since 2003 as Head of the
Federal Department of Foreign Affairs.
She pursues an active foreign policy
marked by a commitment to promoting
peace, respect for international law
and human rights, and the fight against
poverty. Previously, Ms Calmy-Rey
was a member of the Geneva Cantonal
Government.
environmental, development and
humanitarian dimensions. Nuclear
weapons will never be eliminated if
one does not envisage a future without
them. A debate is urgently needed
on security without nuclear weapons.
Switzerland will also be active on these
issues during the coming years in order to
contribute to the new NPT review process,
which will begin in 2012.
Looking at the renewed disarmament
efforts as well as the challenges ahead,
Switzerland cannot but conclude that
there is no alternative to outlawing the
use of nuclear weapons and gradually
and systematically getting rid of them.
The Five-Point Plan of the UN Secretary
General of October 2008 sets out how
we could proceed towards the outlawing
of nuclear weapons. Switzerland
supports this plan. It has the advantage
of flexibility. It does not preclude the
ultimate grand design of a Nuclear
Weapons Convention and it does not
preclude a step-by-step approach.
Nuclear disarmament is not a
matter of idealism. It is a matter of
reason and responsibility. And it is not
an illusion either. The real illusion is to
believe that some States can continue
to rely on such weapons and prevent
their proliferation. Nuclear disarmament
is also a matter of conviction and of
creativity, the one stimulating the other.
Convinced that the total elimination
of nuclear weapons is a noble goal,
Switzerland will continue to contribute
constructively and concretely towards
the achievement of this objective.
Micheline Calmy-Rey speaking at
the 2010 NPT Review Conference,
New York, 3 May 2010.
UN Photo/Evan Schneider
»If it enters into force, the CTBT will prevent
further potential health and environmental
damage caused by nuclear test explosions.«
7
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
VOICES
Safeguarding
the Arab
Renaissance
BY HER ROYAL HIGHNESS PRINCESS
SUMAYA BINT EL HASSAN OF JORDAN
The Arab world is on the
move. Overwhelming poverty,
unemployment and frustration have
led to the toppling of old monoliths
of repression as Arabs unite in their
desire to build a better future. There
is fear and there is uncertainty, but
there is also a distinct absence of
ideology in the chants of the hopeful.
The fact is, employment, opportunity
and dignity will not emerge from
profligate political jockeying, but
from committed investment in
science, innovation and enterprise.
The energy that will ignite our region
is fuel for progress, not anger at the
other. Much of that energy looks
likely to be nuclear.
The recent disaster at Japan’s
Fukushima nuclear power plant has
prompted a renewed focus on nuclear
safety around the world. Events at
Fukushima have emphasised the need
to tighten safety and to learn from
the failings of older facilities. In the
Arab world, calls have already been
made for proposed nuclear projects
to make safety an intrinsic part of
the design and ongoing management
culture of future facilities. Fukushima
has taught us that disasters, no matter
how unlikely they seem at the design
stage, must be anticipated and planned
for. Regular audits and comprehensive
emergency contingency plans must
become a feature of all projects in the
Middle East.
With the help of the
International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) and the Preparatory
Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
(CTBTO), we in Jordan are ready to
help shape our nuclear renaissance
safely and securely, with a full
commitment to non-proliferation and
disarmament in our region.
ADDRESSING JORDAN’S
ENERGY NEEDS
The greater Middle East is rumbling
with an unprecedented hunger for
more energy and more reliability in
supply. Jordan, Turkey, Egypt and
Saudi Arabia are just some of the
States that have declared an interest
in developing peaceful nuclear
technology to meet future energy
needs safely and securely. This is
an inevitable part of our region’s
progress away from fossil fuels and
from their destructive environmental
and political implications. But in our
fractured neighbourhood, a need for
energy security seems to sit with a
deep fear of having nuclear capable
neighbours. This should not be the
case. The nuclear agenda in our
8
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
region has flipped from military
to socio-economic in most right-
thinking administrations, while a
raft of international agreements
and protocols have enmeshed
most governments in a peaceful,
regional nuclear structure. Measures
such as the IAEA Safeguards
on peaceful nuclear activities,
Additional Protocol measures, the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty (CTBT) and the Fissile
Material Cut-Off Treaty will change
the landscape with the cooperation
of most regional actors. We must
ensure that the stragglers follow
suit and that public perceptions are
informed and encouraged by the
possibilities of peaceful and safe
nuclear development.
THE CTBT: CENTRAL TO
GLOBAL AND REGIONAL
DISARMAMENT AND NON-
PROLIFERATION EFFORTS
At El Hassan Science City (EHSC), our
relationship with the CTBTO is greatly
valued. The CTBTO’s commitment to
promoting peaceful development in
our region, and around the world,
is founded on monitoring activities
and strengthened by its facilitation
of dialogue and discussion. The value
of trust in multinational engagement
cannot be overstated, particularly in our
region where national social contracts
are being renegotiated and an evermore
sophisticated population is looking
for hope beyond politics. The CTBTO’s
work greatly enhances cooperative
possibilities for nations in transition and
for economies on the verge of drawing
down their dormant human capital.
Jordan is an ardent supporter
of the CTBT and of the efforts of
the CTBTO to ensure that testing of
nuclear weapons is banned in all its
forms. We are proud to give a home
to the CTBTO auxiliary seismic station
at Tel Alasfar, which has been in
operation since 2002, and we believe
that the organization is central to
global and regional disarmament
and non-proliferation efforts. As
a signatory since 1996, Jordan has
many scientists and policymakers who
have learnt much from the cultural
framework of CTBT institutions. More
recently, our strategic decision to adopt
nuclear energy for peaceful purposes
has added impetus to our efforts in the
area of international monitoring and
disarmament diplomacy. We believe
that the CTBT and other multilateral
treaties should be a basic component
of the moral obligations and
responsibilities of countries seeking to
develop peaceful nuclear technologies,
or those already in possession of
them. It is in this environment that
the Kingdom is seeking to go nuclear.
Energy is of great concern to all
Jordanians as we import a staggering
95 percent of our energy requirements,
at a cost of over 20 percent of the
nation’s gross domestic product.
The process of engagement with
the public on nuclear issues is still at
an early stage but our intentions are
clear. Work has recently begun on a
White Paper that will illustrate the
benefits of peaceful nuclear energy
in the Kingdom. The wide-ranging
document will bed its position in the
immense energy/water challenge
that faces us and will include lessons
learnt from Fukushima. The document
will highlight the many factors and
components of Jordan’s nuclear energy
programme and will place the nuclear
initiative in the context of planned
energy diversification, electricity
generation and demand, water scarcity
and resources, the environment, job
creation and capacity building. Of
course, it will also take note of the
ever-changing geopolitical environment
that defines our region for many in
the West. Issues that hold as much
importance for us will also be covered,
including the regulatory environment,
international obligations and the
potential benefits to an informed nation
that embraces the nuclear option.
BRIDGING THE DIVIDE
BETWEEN POLICYMAKERS AND
SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITIES
The Jordan Atomic Energy Commission
is also beginning a process of
engagement with the general public
to measure perceptions of nuclear
energy and of Jordan’s fledging nuclear
programme in particular. This is a
process from which we can all benefit.
At EHSC, we believe it is vital for the
CTBTO to build partnerships not only
with Member States but also within
Member States, with civil society
organizations and the wider public.
We are honoured to provide a link that
makes this possible. Our expertise can
only help in bridging the divide between
policymakers and scientific communities,
and in making this new nuclear age a
peaceful and prosperous one.
USEFULNESS OF CTBT
MONITORING DATA
The Jordanian National Data Centre
(NDC) in Amman is a key component of
our efforts to promote peace through
scientific know-how. Currently based at
the Jordan Seismological Observatory,
we hope that the CTBTO will help us
to expand the usefulness of this data
repository and the utility of its unique
expertise. As a first step to expanding
our community engagement, we hope to
establish sub-NDCs at several Jordanian
universities to maximize the benefits to
be derived from the data provided by
the International Monitoring System
Safeguarding
the Arab
Renaissance
»We in Jordan are
ready to help shape our
nuclear renaissance
safely and securely,
with a full commitment
to non-proliferation
and disarmament
in our region.«
»Another key goal
of our cooperation
with the CTBTO is
the expansion of
Treaty acceptance
in the region.«
9
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
(IMS) and the International Data
Centre at the CTBTO. Encouraging
universities to use data provided by
the CTBTO's facilities would greatly aid
the process of broadening civil society
involvement in the monitoring process.
Another key goal of our
cooperation with the CTBTO is the
expansion of Treaty acceptance in the
region. To aid this process, we are keen
to establish a Regional Data Centre
in Jordan. We believe that such a
centre would benefit our cooperative
work in several ways. Firstly, it would
encourage and facilitate researchers
from neighbouring countries and
help preparations to implement
the verification regime beyond our
borders. Secondly, it would provide
a valuable platform for the use of
underappreciated scientific data in
other countries. We have gained
valuable experience by establishing
and expanding the first NDC in the
Middle East, with the cooperation of
the CTBTO, and we have developed
rare technical expertise that should be
shared with our fellow Arabs. Jordan
is an ideal candidate for the role for
many other reasons, not least because
of our central location and our open
borders. It is my hope that a Regional
Data Centre would eventually lead to
the establishment of a Middle East
Training Centre, further enhancing
opportunities for Jordanian and Arab
involvement in international nuclear
and energy organizations.
USING IMS DATA TO HELP
SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH
A vital step to expanding Jordan’s
contribution to CTBT goals is our
proposal to establish sub-NDCs at
some of our top science universities,
including Princess Sumaya University
for Technology, Yarmuk University,
and the Jordan University of Science
and Technology. Setting up sub-NDCs
at universities would increase
the use of invaluable IMS data to
aid scientific research in fields as
diverse as seismology, geology, the
environment and Information and
Communication Technologies (ICT).
The Arab world remains far behind
the rest of the planet when it comes to
nuclear energy. As the count of nuclear
reactors on the globe races beyond 450,
we Arabs have yet to inaugurate a single
one. But the discussion is well under
way. Before Fukushima, the nuclear
renaissance that had sparked debate
in Russia, India, China and many more
diverse and energy-thirsty nations,
had also hit the Arab world. Like many
countries that have emerged from shaky
economic and political transitions,
the Arab States will need help and
investment to make goals a reality under
a shared commitment to safety and
security. The rewards for us are ones
that the West will share: development,
stability and the global contribution to
peace and sustainability of a people with
ambitions, optimism and the energy to
build new societies.
Aerial image of El
Hassan Science City
in Amman, Jordan.
HER ROYAL HIGHNESS PRINCESS
SUMAYA BINT EL HASSAN
is President of the Royal Scientific
Society, Chair of the Board of
Trustees of Princess Sumaya
University for Technology and
founder of El Hassan Science City.
Princess Sumaya is an advocate of
science as a catalyst for change in the
Arab World. She champions scientific
excellence in education, research and
innovation to promote sustainable
development in Jordan and the
region. The Princess is committed to
maximizing human potential through
education and opportunity.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
10
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty (CTBT) is a vital element
in today’s multilateral framework
for nuclear disarmament and
non-proliferation. Its entry into force
would be a major step towards a world
free of nuclear weapons – which must
be our ultimate destination. But this
year is the fifteenth since the Treaty
was opened for signature, and it is yet
to enter into force.
New Zealand has always been
a strong advocate of the Treaty. New
Zealand signed the Treaty just three
days after it was opened for signature
on 27 September 1996 and each year in
the United Nations General Assembly
takes turns with Australia and Mexico
to run a resolution in support of the
Treaty. New Zealand also hosts six
monitoring stations which form part of
the verification system on its territory,
as well as one of ten currently certified
radionuclide laboratories.
NEW ZEALAND’S DECADES-
LONG STRUGGLE TO MAKE
THE WORLD A SAFER PLACE
These actions are consistent with New
Zealand’s long history of opposing nuclear
weapons and nuclear testing.
New Zealanders have worked
for decades for the complete cessation
of nuclear testing around the world.
Since the 1950s, when nuclear weapons
first started being tested in our region,
successive New Zealand governments
have contributed to global and regional
efforts to stop testing. Those efforts have
included taking direct action, such as the
dispatching of New Zealand warships to
the testing grounds of the Pacific, and
pursuing more traditional diplomatic and
legal initiatives.
In the five decades following World
War II, at least 285 atmospheric and
underground tests were carried out in
the Pacific. Although far from the world’s
heavily populated metropolitan regions,
the chosen sites were not empty. They
were inhabited by small and vulnerable
communities, some of which were exposed
to environmental and health effects that
The end
of nuclear
testing
is within
our reach
BY GEORGINA TE HEUHEU,
NEW ZEALAND'S MINISTER FOR
DISARMAMENT AND ARMS CONTROL
VOICES
remain to this day. Nuclear testing in
the Pacific strengthened New Zealand’s
resolve that nuclear weapons provided
no solution to the problems of the world
and that they had no place in our region.
It inspired the creation of the South
Pacific Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone by the
Treaty of Rarotonga in 1985, and New
Zealand’s own nuclear-free legislation in
1987, the New Zealand Nuclear Free Zone,
Disarmament and Arms Control Act, both
of which occupy a special place in our
national identity.
»… an effective and
verifiable CTBT is an
essential step on the
road to a nuclear-
weapon-free world.
«
11
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
IMPORTANCE OF A UNIVERSAL
AND VERIFIABLE BAN
ON NUCLEAR TESTS
Like many other countries, however,
New Zealand was convinced that the
most effective way to achieve an end
to nuclear testing would be through a
universal and verifiable global ban. The
negotiation of the CTBT in 1996 was a
very positive step in that direction. At the
heart of the Treaty is the recognition that
banning nuclear tests effectively places
a qualitative cap on the development
and improvement of nuclear weapons. In
short, an effective and verifiable CTBT is
an essential step on the road to a nuclear-
weapon-free world.
While the opening of the CTBT for
signature in September 1996 was the
culmination of many years of technical,
scientific and diplomatic work, the next
two challenges – pulling together the
necessary ratifications for entry into force
and building the Treaty’s verification
system – were only just beginning.
Substantial progress has been made
on both goals. The CTBT has now been
signed by 182 States and ratified by
153. Approximately 85 percent of the
International Monitoring System (IMS)
stations have been installed, of which
almost 80 percent have been certified and
are fully operational. The International
Data Centre continues to provide Member
States with essential products (such as raw
data and data analysis results) and services
using an ever-increasing stream of data
from the IMS. Work is also underway to
develop the necessary framework for the
final verification measure included in the
Treaty, an on-site inspection (OSI).
The global progress that has been
made reflects a near-universal recognition
and acceptance of the objectives of
the Treaty, and has contributed to the
global moratorium on nuclear testing.
But it is not enough. As we have seen
as recently as 2009 when North Korea
conducted a nuclear test, a norm against
nuclear testing which has a moral rather
than a legal force cannot be relied upon
to prevent a breach, and a verification
regime that is not complete cannot
provide an adequate response.
PROMOTING THE CTBT’S
ENTRY INTO FORCE
There have been many initiatives since
1996 to promote the entry into force of
the Treaty, including the biennial Article
XIV (Entry into Force) conferences and
the annual resolutions of the United
Nations General Assembly. The CTBT
also features prominently on the agenda
of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT) Review Conferences, with the
2010 Conference reaffirming the essential
role of the Treaty within the nuclear
disarmament and non-proliferation
regime. And with the help of the
Government of Kazakhstan, 2010 also
saw the inauguration of an international
day against nuclear testing on 29 August.
These initiatives have had some
success. The number of ratifications
continues to grow, with recent additions
from the Pacific region such as the
Marshall Islands and Papua New Guinea
further contributing to the universalization
of the Treaty. Positive signals from among
the remaining Annex II States are also
significant, and New Zealand warmly
welcomes the public commitments from
Indonesia and the United States to move
forward on ratification.
There can, however, be no substitute
for entry into force of the Treaty and for
the completion of the verification regime.
Fifteen years after the CTBT’s negotiation,
there can no longer be any arguments
that a global ban on nuclear testing is
not feasible or cannot be verified. If
we – as individual countries and as an
international community – are serious
»Fifteen years after the CTBT’s
negotiation, there can no longer
be any arguments that a global
ban on nuclear testing is not
feasible or cannot be verified.«
The Licorne test, Moruroa
Atoll, southern Pacific
Ocean, 3 July 1970.
AFP Getty Images.
12
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
about ending nuclear testing and paving
the way towards a nuclear-weapon-free
world, there can be no better way of
demonstrating our commitment to that
ideal than by signing and ratifying the
CTBT and seeing it enter into force.
STATES THAT HAVE NOT YET
SIGNED OR RATIFIED THE CTBT
SHOULD DO SO IMMEDIATELY
In this regard the nine remaining Annex 2
States bear a special responsibility for the
CTBT’s entry into force. At the same time
that New Zealand looks to those States
to take immediate steps to sign and ratify
the Treaty, we will take every opportunity
to encourage other remaining States,
including those in the Pacific, to ratify the
Treaty, and support the efforts of those
moving towards this goal.
We, the international community,
must also continue to work
collectively towards a verification
regime to monitor Treaty compliance
that will be operational at entry into
force. This will require the support
of all Member States. Adequate
resources and political support are
also indispensible, whether in the
form of technical expertise, budgetary
contributions or the construction of
monitoring stations.
CTBT MEMBERSHIP
OFFERS A NUMBER OF
ADDITIONAL BENEFITS
The benefits to States from CTBT
membership are far greater than
the costs. The products of the IMS
network are an increasingly important
global scientific resource, as shown
in particular by the work now being
done in the field of tsunami early
warnings. In addition, all States hosting
monitoring stations own and operate
those stations and receive technical
and financial assistance to ensure
their continued operation. For many
States, the Preparatory Commission for
the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO) provides
capacity building assistance through
technical workshops and training.
However, what New Zealand
values most about being part of the
CTBT is contributing to the movement
towards a great global good: the end
of nuclear testing for all time. This is
an essential step towards the ultimate
goal of eliminating nuclear weapons
and the threat they pose to life on
earth. New Zealand would like to
see the CTBT enter into force sooner
rather than later and calls on all States
yet to sign and ratify the Treaty to do
so without further delay.
GEORGINA TE HEUHEU
is New Zealand’s Minister for
Disarmament and Arms Control,
Minister for Courts, Minister of Pacific
Island Affairs and Associate Minister of
Maori Affairs. Mrs te Heuheu was the
first Maori woman to be admitted to the
High Court of New Zealand as a
Barrister and Solicitor. She went on to
practise law in Wellington and Rotorua
before entering Parliament in 1996. She
became only the second Maori woman
appointed to a New Zealand Cabinet in
1998. From 1998 to 1999, Mrs te
Heuheu was New Zealand’s Minister for
Courts, Minister of Women’s Affairs,
Associate Minister for Treaty of
Waitangi Negotiations and Associate
Minister of Health.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
Air sampler at
radionuclide station
RN47, Kaitaia,
New Zealand
Map showing the South Pacific
Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone.
Courtesy of Nuclear Threat
Initiative (NTI).
13
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
LEGALITY ISSUES AND
THE USE OF DIFFERENT
TYPES OF WEAPONS
The most obvious contrasts between
mass-destruction weapons and others
are in terms of legality and use. Owning
and trading in most conventional arms is
legal, in contrast to the formal prohibition
of chemical and biological weapons,
and of nuclear weapons other than for
five States under the provisions of the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
Conventional weapons are used every day
throughout the world, for hunting and
personal protection, internal conflict and
policing purposes as well as inter-State
war. Countries that have developed nuclear
weapons would all claim – whether we
believe them or not – that they have them
in order not to use them, i.e. for deterrence
and only secondly for defence. Moreover,
no way has yet been found to use such
weapons for practical purposes of local
warfare, crisis management or internal
order, though defence planners have
sometimes toyed with inventions – like
neutron bombs or ‘mini-nukes’ – whose
apparent ‘useability’ would risk eroding
the nuclear taboo.
Even so, there are ways in which
the two weaponry challenges are
interlinked or run parallel. Nuclear
weapons, and chemical and biological
ones if used in a context of warfare,
require conventional weapons – missiles,
drones, aircraft or submarines – to
During my career both as an official
and a researcher, I have spent
more or less equal time and effort
dealing with the issues of Weapons
of Mass Destruction (WMD) and
with conventional arms control and
armament policy. In retrospect I realize
it is uncommon to combine these two
interests, perhaps especially for a
woman. While female pioneers like Alva
Myrdal were equally concerned about
all arms and destructive techniques, in
modern times we tend to find women
most prominently engaged on WMD
issues on the one hand, and issues of
inhumane conventional weaponry and
small arms on the other. This is perhaps
not surprising given the particular
ethical and humanitarian issues that
both those topics raise, and the way
they both relate to a gender discourse
(the huge majority of small arms users
are men). It is also noteworthy how few
women work on the supply side of the
arms business, in the defence industry
and on arms collaboration policy.
Some might say this is to
women’s credit: but it is a pity
if it strengthens the tendency in
the arms control establishment to
draw hard frontiers – and maintain
separate career tracks – between
WMD-related issues and those of
conventional disarmament. For one
thing, technological advances are
threatening to dissolve that barrier
by introducing non-nuclear,
chemical or – biological techniques
that could have the same massive
and indiscriminate impact as existing
WMD. For another, the struggle
to reduce arms and end conflicts is
always in need of fresh ideas; and
some might conceivably emerge
from thinking about contrasts and
comparisons between the two fields,
notably in terms of the challenges
they pose for control and the
possible solutions. This article will try
to do just that, though necessarily in
very broad terms – and offering more
questions than answers.
Weapons of mass
destruction and
conventional
disarmament:
Scope
for Synergy?
VOICES
BY ALYSON J.K. BAILES,
UNIVERSITY OF
ICELAND
14
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
deliver them. Missiles have become a
central but peculiarly intractable issue
of arms control precisely because they
can carry multiple payloads, plus having
‘peaceful’ uses in space exploration.
Technologies like precision guidance have
similar across-the-board applications.
In policy terms, the two kinds of
capability become fatefully intertwined
when nuclear capacity is seen as offsetting
a conventional force deficit, or as a way of
protecting territories so small, remote and
close to the enemy that their defensibility
may otherwise be in doubt. Such thinking
has been found on both sides of the
NATO/Warsaw Pact (now, NATO/Russia)
or the India/Pakistan relationship, and it
may also be a motive for smaller States
facing regional isolation. Among the grave
risks of such ‘nuclear dependence’ is that it
gives any conventional clash the potential
of escalating into WMD use that would
be fateful not just for the targets, but for
the users and the world. The 21st century
concern about terrorists or other non-State
groups gaining ‘asymmetrical’ advantages
by acquiring WMD techniques also has
conventional parallels: vide the worldwide
effort to stop terrorists getting MANPADs
1
that can be used inter alia to attack top
political targets.
MOST CONVENTIONAL ARMS
ARE PRODUCED, TRADED AND
OWNED BY LARGE STATES
Even the more abstract, symbolic purposes
that nuclear status is often seen as
serving, linked as it is to permanent UN
Security Council membership and regional
leadership, are not completely alien to
the conventional field. The great bulk of
conventional arms are produced, traded
and owned by large States
2
that are not at
war, lack major internal conflicts and face
relatively low risks of armed violence all
round. This may partly be explained by
economic motives (arms sales, employment
in the defence industry, keeping a
technological edge) and by the post-Cold
War increase in military interventions
overseas. Yet the sheer size of arsenals,
including many weapons systems ill-fitted
to modern expeditionary purposes,
suggests that less tangible factors like
generalized deterrence, self-assertion and
status-building must be at play.
These connections are not just
intellectually intriguing, but matter for
anyone aiming to monitor, curb and
eventually eliminate the tools of violence.
Regional enmities and aggressive national
policies may all too easily break out
through the conventional channel if the
nuclear route is suppressed, and vice
versa. Conversely, the kind of progress
in trust and cooperation that allows
WMD to be cut back or eliminated also
helps reduce excess conventional arms
build-up, and at best ends with nations
using their weapons cooperatively as in
joint peace missions – like Europeans
in East and West after the Cold War.
One kind of arms control should never
be made hostage to the other, not least
because the most urgent weapons-related
risks for peace and humanity will differ
objectively from region to region and case
to case. But it is legitimate to ask if they
could inform and reinforce each other
better than at present.
PROGRESS IN CONVENTIONAL
ARMS CONTROL
At first sight, it is the contrasts between
the two fields that stand out in this respect
_______________
[1] Man-portable air defence systems.
[2] The top five weapons producers are the United
States, Russia, Germany, the United Kingdom
and France; the top exporters are the United
States, the United Kingdom, France and Russia
(facts from the Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute, http://www.sipri.org).
Titan 2- the largest
intercontinental ballistic missile
ever built by the United States.
Courtesy of Kingdafy
15
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
too. Conventional arms control has made
most progress hitherto through regional
deals that cut levels, improve transparency
and/or constrain forces’ behaviour; with
global provisions reserved for inhumane
weapons that in practice matter less for
winning wars. Negotiated nuclear cuts
have also been limited to the U.S./Russian
relationship, while nuclear – or WMD-free
zones provide an important regional
dimension; but the most fundamental
instruments of WMD control are still the
global ones – including the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). This
makes sense not just because WMD are an
issue for all humanity, but also because the
threat of proliferation and break-out looms
so large in this field and demands global
treatment in an age of worldwide trade,
travel and technology diffusion.
At the technical level, meanwhile,
the issue of testing is less germane to
conventional weapons dangers – except,
tellingly, for missiles – than for nuclear
restraint. It is also hard to think of
techniques that could be applied to it in
the same global style as they can be for
purposes of monitoring nuclear breakout,
like seismic monitoring or the emissions
monitoring linked with a fissile materials
cut-off. This does not of course mean
that the verification machinery being
established by the Preparatory Commission
for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO) could not
be put to good use in other fields of
security governance and science
3
. Nor is
it saying that the CTBTO’s high standards
in terms of non-discrimination and
comprehensiveness, with equal rights
and obligations for all Member States,
would not be desirable as a model for
conventional disarmament or indeed
for quantitative nuclear reductions. It is
just that it has so far proved beyond the
reach of practical politics to transplant
such approaches to other than ‘inhumane’
weapons.
CALLS FOR AN ARMS
TRADE TREATY
The parallels that do exist in control
approaches can be seen above all in
the ‘dual-use’ dilemma. Just as WMD
policy seeks to build firewalls between
non-weapon-related nuclear, chemical and
biological activities and their destructive
applications, conventional disarmers must
find ways to stop ‘leakage’ from, and
misapplication of, personal gun ownership
and the national arsenals needed for
minimum defence and peace missions. The
conventional task is on a different scale
because of the ubiquity and huge economic
weight of the arms trade: yet this merely
underlines the importance of the current
United Nations drive for an Arms Trade
Treaty that would regulate and restrain
transfers globally – and on a universal and
equal basis – for the first time in history.
Also crucial for curbing both WMD and
conventional proliferation are mundane
measures like safety of stocks, export
controls, tracing technologies and detection
of illegal transfer routes. Finally, unwanted
weapons and materials of both kinds must
be destroyed without endangering people
or the environment. Cooperation on such
tasks, in regional groupings or between big
powers, has double value in both fields for
its confidence-building effects.
The ultimate challenge in each
realm of disarmament is to find political
solutions that unite States of different
regions, persuasions and levels of
development. The ultimate obstacles are
the human attitudes of ‘Mine are OK,
yours not,’ ‘I’m not going first,’ and ‘I
prefer the risks of arms racing to those
of reduction.’ Women can fall into those
mental traps too, but should not. My
fondest wish is that more of them in the
new generation will work on the whole
range of issues outlined above.
_______________
[3] Such possibilities are discussed on the
CTBTO website at http://www.ctbto.org/
verification-regime/potential-civil-and-
scientific-applicationsof-ctbt-verification-data-
and-technologies/.
Russian SA-6 GAINFUL is a two stage,
solid-fuel, low-altitude surface-to-air
missile. Photo courtesy of
weapons.technology.youngester.com
»… the most fundamental
instruments of WMD
control are still the global
ones – including the
Comprehensive Nuclear-
Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT).«
ALYSON BAILES
is currently teaching security studies
at the University of Iceland and the
College of Europe at Bruges, after a
career spent mainly in the British
Diplomatic Service. From 2002 to
2007, she was Director of the
Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute (SIPRI) and also
served on the Weapons of Mass
Destruction Commission headed by
Dr Hans Blix. In June 2010 she was a
keynote speaker on conventional
arms control at the Annual Security
Review Conference of the
Organization for Security and
Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) .
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
16
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
STATUS OF CERTIFIED IMS FACILITIES
AS OF 16 MAY 2011
MORE GOOGLE MAP
FEATURES
Various new interactive features have
recently been added to all the world maps
on our website, including:
PDF MAP CREATOR
which allows you to create a printable
colour version of the signature/ratification
maps on a global and regional basis.
PDF REPORTS
which provides a comprehensive
breakdown of the map that was selected
VISIT ONLINE:
www.ctbto.org/map
17
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
18
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Global radiation
monitoring in
the wake of the
Fukushima disaster
BY K IRSTEN HAUPT AND
THOMAS MÜTZELBURG
VERIFICATION SCIENCE
Since the double disaster of the 9.0
magnitude earthquake and tsunami
that affected hundreds of thousands
of people and seriously damaged the
Fukushima Daiichi power plant in Japan
on 11 March 2011, minute traces of
radioactive emissions from Fukushima
have spread across the entire globe.
By mid-April, most of the radionuclide
stations of the International Monitoring
System (IMS) had detected radioactive
particles and noble gases from the
Fukushima accident. The IMS is a global
network that will comprise 337 facilities
when complete. Sixty-three of the 80
planned IMS radionuclide stations are
already operational and able to detect
airborne radioactivity.
SPREADING ACROSS
THE ENTIRE GLOBE
The first analysis results of the monitoring
data became available a few days after the
accident. A clear picture quickly emerged.
Initial detections of radioactive materials
were made on 12 March at the Takasaki
monitoring station in Japan, just 300 km
away from the troubled power plant. The
dispersion of the radioactive isotopes
could then be followed to eastern Russia
on 14 March and to the west coast of the
United States two days later.
Nine days after the accident, the
radioactive cloud had crossed Northern
America. Three days later, when a station
in Iceland picked up radioactive materials,
it was clear that the cloud had reached
Europe. By day 15, traces from the
accident in Fukushima were detectable
all across the northern hemisphere. For
the first four weeks, the radioactive
materials remained confined to the
northern hemisphere, with the equator
initially acting as a dividing line between
the northern and southern air masses. By
13 April, radioactivity had spread to the
southern hemisphere of the Asia-Pacific
region and had been detected at stations
located in Australia, Fiji, Malaysia and
Papua New Guinea.
UNPARALLELED SENSITIVITY
The monitoring system of the
Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
Organization (CTBTO) can detect a range
of radioactive isotopes, among them
iodine-131 and caesium-137. Looking
at the ratios between the various
radioactive isotopes enables the source
of the emission to be identified. In the
case of the current readings, findings
clearly indicate radionuclide releases
from a damaged nuclear power plant,
which is consistent with the recent
accident at Fukushima in Japan. By 13
April, the average level of radioactivity
picked up by the stations worldwide
continued to decline, which is also due to
the relatively short half-lives of iodine-
131 (8 days) and xenon-133 (5.2 days).
The CTBTO’s radionuclide stations
are designed to register minuscule
amounts of radioactive particles and
noble gases – down to a number of a few
atoms. The system’s sensitivity is second-
to-none – it can detect a concentration
of 0.1 g of radioactive xenon evenly
distributed within the entire atmosphere
of the Earth. A rooftop detector at the
CTBTO’s headquarters in Vienna still
catches traces of emissions from the 1986
Chernobyl disaster.
BENEFITS FOR DISASTER
MITIGATION EFFORTS
The IMS is being built to ensure
compliance with the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT), which
bans all nuclear explosions. CTBTO
monitoring data and technologies,
however, offer a host of additional
benefits, particularly in relation to
disaster mitigation. One of these benefits
is already in place – the contribution of
data to tsunami warning efforts. In 2006,
Member States mandated the CTBTO
to provide seismic and hydroacoustic
monitoring data to a number of tsunami
warning centres in the Indo-Pacific
region. Data were also made available
to Japan when it was hit by the massive
earthquake on 11 March. Tragically, tens
of thousands of people were killed by
the tsunami; but many were saved due
Fukushima Daiichi
power plant: a regional
dispersion simulation
(Austrian Meteorological
Service ZAMG)
to the rapid alerts. According to Japanese
authorities, CTBTO data helped them
to issue tsunami warnings within a few
minutes, thus allowing many people to
escape to higher ground. CTBTO data
also helped other countries in the region,
such as Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia,
the Philippines and the United States,
to issue timely tsunami warnings, even
though the wave turned out to have lost
its devastating power by the time it had
reached these countries’ shores.
ENHANCED COOPERATION
WITH OTHER INTERNATIONAL
ORGANIZATIONS
Following an initiative by United Nations
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, relevant
international organizations agreed on
25 March 2011 to enhance cooperation
to help mitigate the consequences of
the nuclear disaster in Japan. These
organizations include the CTBTO, the
International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA), the World Meteorological
Organization (WMO), the UN Development
Programme (UNDP), the World Health
Organization (WHO) and the UN Office for
Disarmament Affairs (UNODA).
The CTBTO contributes to this effort
by providing information on the detection
of radioactive isotopes from its worldwide
monitoring network. The CTBTO can also
assist in predicting the global dispersion
of radioactive material by using its
atmospheric transport modelling (ATM)
tool, which has been developed in
cooperation with the WMO. This method
allows for the calculation of the dispersion
of a given radionuclide emission, using
meteorological data. This calculation can
be performed as back tracking in order
to identify the area where a radionuclide
may have been released, calculated
from the station where it was observed.
In the case of Fukushima, where the
point of release was known, the CTBTO
applied forward ATM to predict where
radionuclides would travel in the future.
Although the emissions were
initially based on estimates only, they
proved to be 95 percent correct as the
radionuclides mostly reached the stations
within hours of the time predicted. With
information made available later by the
IAEA on the release level of radioactive
substances at the Fukushima power plant
– the so-called source term – the CTBTO
has been able to quantify and refine its
global dispersion predictions.
RADIOACTIVITY OUTSIDE
OF JAPAN BELOW
HARMFUL LEVELS
The present event has understandably
given rise to concerns about manmade
radiation. In particular, atmospheric
nuclear testing in the 1950s and
1960s caused widespread fallout,
resulting in radiation-related diseases
and deaths and rendering vast areas
uninhabitable to this day. These nuclear
tests had the most direct impact on
the immediate region. The danger from
fallout decreases with distance, as
radioactive particles are dispersed into
the atmosphere or washed out through
precipitation. A number of radioactive
isotopes also have a limited half-life of
a few days or weeks, which reduces the
overall radioactivity with time. Other
radioactive substances though, such
as plutonium, linger for thousands of
years. The locations where over 1,500
underground nuclear tests were carried
out worldwide are highly contaminated
and have had to be completely fenced
off to limit the danger to humans.
The cumulative effects of the nuclear
explosions resulted in much higher levels
of radioactivity than were observed after
the Chernobyl disaster. Radioactive isotopes
could be traced in the baby teeth of children
born even at great distances from the test
sites in these decades. By comparison, the
levels detected at stations outside Japan up
until May 2011 have been far below levels
that could cause harm to humans and the
environment. The levels are comparable
to natural background radiation, such
as cosmic radiation and radiation from
the environment on Earth, and are lower
than those from manmade sources, such
as medical applications or nuclear power
plants (under normal operations) or isotope
production facilities.
KIRSTEN HAUPT
is a historian who has been working
for CTBTO Public Information since
2005. Prior to this, she worked for
13 years in the field of public
information in peacekeeping
missions in Cambodia and in the
former Yugoslavia.
THOMAS MÜTZELBURG
joined CTBTO Public Information in
April 2011. Prior to this, he worked
for the German Foreign Office in
Berlin and Vienna from 2005 on
CTBT-related issues.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTES
Simulation of dispersion of radioactivity. Courtesy of the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources
19
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Shouting voices, a flaming brand, and
one after the other the beacons burst
into flames sending the signal from
hilltop to hilltop.
Beacons have offered protection
by raising the alarm against danger for
more than two thousand years. They’ve
dispatched the signal about impending
invasions and borne the message that
led to the defeat of navies. The light of a
beacon, the lighthouse on a treacherous
shore, has guided sailors to safety.
Today a network of beacons
girds the planet, monitoring the land,
sea and air for the dangers of nuclear
explosions. It employs advanced
technologies, yet its purpose is
fundamentally the same as its hilltop
predecessors: it offers vigilance and
the means to warn of danger.
TSUNAMI WARNING IN 2011
In March 2011 the International
Monitoring System (IMS) registered
the huge earthquake off the coast of
Japan, flashing messages to tsunami
warning centres. Then sensors that
sniff the air started tracking radiation
in the atmosphere from the damaged
Fukushima nuclear reactors.
The requirement of a lighthouse
keeper was to ensure that there would
always be a beam of light flashing
from the lighthouse. Enshrined in
the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty (CTBT) is a performance
requirement just as rigid. There is
only a two per cent allowance for
failure by land and sea facilities in
reporting data. In other words, the
system has to meet a 98 per cent
standard for making data available to
the International Data Centre (IDC) in
Vienna. Atmospheric monitoring has
to meet a 95 percent criterion.
Ensuring maintenance and logistical
support for the system to meet these
requirements is the task of a group of
some 25 women and men (regular and
temporary staff) headed by Natalie
Brely at the Vienna headquarters of
the Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
Organization (CTBTO).
It sounds straightforward. But
access to stations in remote locations
such as Antarctica is limited to a
few months every year. Logistical
challenges for other isolated facilities
also require extensive planning. And,
the more mundane task of avoiding
delays to delivery of equipment at
States’ customs posts may be just as
challenging.
CTBTO LIGHTHOUSE
KEEPERS
“We have to ensure that the woman
or man running a CTBTO facility has
all the necessary tools, equipment
and knowledge to attempt to avoid
problems or be able to fix them as
fast as possible. The bottom line
Beacons in
the nuclear
night
Maintaining the health
of the International
Monitoring System
VERIFICATION SCIENCE
BY PETER
RICKWOOD
Natalie Brely, Chief of the Monitoring Support Facilities
Section at the International Monitoring System Division.
20
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
is that a station can be down for
no more than seven days, which
requires us to detect, troubleshoot,
identify and repair a failure as fast
as possible. It is important that the
station is brought back to operation
as soon as possible,” Brely said.
As of the end of February 2011,
there were nearly 1,000 women
and men in 84 countries, the CTBTO
equivalent of lighthouse keepers,
operating its monitoring facilities.
“Each station, when it’s built, is
provisioned with spare parts, manuals
and tools in order to be able to react
in the event of a break down,” Brely
said. “When a station is certified,
which means that it meets Treaty
requirements and is capable of being
part of the monitoring system, we
have a snapshot of all its components
and an environment which allows us
to adapt the support and supply chain
structure in an optimal manner.
Some parts, such as computers
and digitizers, have a life
expectancy of three to 10 years,
said Brely. A seismometer may have
a 20 year life expectancy. “Good
engineering attempts to ensure that
all these components are designed
in a modular fashion. If a part
breaks down, you replace it with a
new one.
STAYING AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM’S NEEDS
Which, loosely translated, means
that Brely and her team must
remain in continuous motion to stay
ahead of the huge system’s routine
maintenance needs and replacement
of parts. That doesn’t take into
account the unforeseen, emergencies
and catastrophic failures, “but we
do try to plan for these as best as
possible” she says with a smile.
And when facilities are located
in the middle of deserts, on remote
islands, or close to the Earth’s poles,
keeping them running becomes even
more of a challenge.
From an investment of 1 billion
USD over the last 15 years, engineers
have installed a system of monitors,
some in the world’s most desolate
places, to detect any evidence of
nuclear explosions. This system is the
verification arm of the Treaty.
By the end of 2011, 280 of
337 facilities when the system is
complete, will have been certified.
The cost of operating and sustaining
the network in 2011 will be nearly 30
million USD.
Data are collected round the
clock by a planet-wide stethoscope,
amplifying sounds from the Earth
to determine if any of them could
be a nuclear explosion. Seismic
and infrasound facilities monitor
underground, and the Earth’s
atmosphere and hydroacoustic
stations listen for sounds in the
oceans. Radionuclide facilities sniff
the atmosphere for evidence of
radioactive particles and gases.
A DELUGE OF DATA
Every year IMS facilities log about
30,000 events. In the deluge of
data dispatched to the CTBTO
headquarters in Vienna by satellite,
these are the signals that could
indicate a nuclear explosion.
The information is provided
in a form known as waveform data.
To the uninitiated it appears to
be indecipherable squiggles. The
squiggles, however, are the language
in which the electronic record of
seismic, infrasound and hydroacoustic
monitoring data are expressed.
On a daily basis ten gigabytes of
such data are transmitted by satellite
to the CTBTO’s headquarters. Under
the terms of the Treaty, all of its 182
Member States have equal rights to
make use of the data. “This is the
beauty of this Treaty,” says Brely.
“No matter if a country hosts one,
none or many monitoring facilities, all
Member States have equal rights to
all the data.
The numbers belie the fact that
the monitoring system is not only the
sum of its technologies and facilities but
also the operators serving it, Brely says.
The response is to have a policy
of forward investment, she explains,
one that makes every effort to ensure
station operators have all the tools,
knowledge and equipment they need.
“We need to make sure that
all the operators understand their
role and each one recognizes the
importance and value of the system.
Only by accomplishing that will we
be able to really ensure that the
monitoring system and the CTBT in
its entirety will be sustainable and
reliable for years to come.
Brely, a Canadian born mother
of four children, honed her skills
to manage support of the CTBTO
monitoring facilities from 20 years
experience in maintenance and
logistics in the Canadian armed forces.
“It taught me the indisputable value
of the power of a team and the reality
that it’s only as strong as its weakest
link,” she said.
REGIONAL DEPOTS
To ensure swift delivery of services,
the CTBTO is setting up regional
depots, providing supplies and
technical support in a timely manner.
Still, Brely and her team are
mission control for the network, on
standby to support its operators and
their stations, prepared to send out
a breakdown crew when there is no
alternative.
“If the station operator can’t fix
a problem, we’ll send a maintenance
team,Brely said. However, the
service comes with a condition.
“One of our objectives is that a
maintenance team won’t travel twice
to a station for the same problem. The
station operator will need to be part
of the repair mission so that she/he
learn and can do it herself/himself
the next time around.
21
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
SELF-RELIANCE
Self-reliance becomes even more
of an issue for Brely regarding the
120 auxiliary stations in the system,
which provide information only upon
request. Under Treaty terms, they are
the responsibility of the countries in
which they are located.
The CTBTO can provide remote
technical support and training for
their operators, but otherwise Brely
is limited to using moral suasion to
ensure these operators and the host
countries play their important role in
the system.
“Our responsibility is limited to
providing remote technical support,
documentation and training. I can
identify someone who needs more
training but that is all I can do.
The host country has to figure out
how to do it by itself. It has to fund
operations and maintenance – national
implementation has been a huge issue
that we are addressing.
Auxiliary stations have a vital role
to play in ensuring compliance with the
Treaty. They are required to help narrow
the focus in an area suspected to have
been the site of a concealed nuclear
explosion. Then, after entry into force,
the ultimate tool at the Treaty’s disposal
can be used, feet on the ground – an
on-site inspection to provide further
evidence that a test has taken place.
BUILDING OWNERSHIP
“We’re continually trying to enhance
local understanding, to create the
sense of ownership that’s required.
This is a joint venture – we can’t do
it alone, we want the countries with
auxiliary stations to take pride in
them and encourage their operators
to be proud as well. They need to
put into place the necessary support
structure to allow their operators to
fulfill their role,” Brely said.
“The station operator is our
ambassador, our first line of defense.
If the operators of auxiliary stations
as well as all other CTBTO stations
aren’t treated properly, they won’t be
part of the solution.
More than two thousand years
ago in the Han Dynasty, beacons were
a feature of China’s Great Wall. In 290
B.C. Ptolemy erected a 100-metre
high lighthouse at the entrance to the
harbour of Alexandria, which became
one of the Seven Wonders of the
classical world. In Iran in the Middle
Ages large minaret lighthouses were
erected beside the sea route at the
mouth of the Persian Gulf.
Following the fall of the Roman
Empire no new lighthouses were
constructed in Europe until after the end
of the so-called Dark Ages. Since 1945,
nuclear weapons have imposed their
own darkness from the threat that their
use risked immolation of the planet.
The CTBT and its monitoring
system represent a beacon for a new
direction away from such dangers.
Historians of the future may well
view its verification network as the
first signs of safety emerging from the
perils of an era of nuclear weapons.
PETER RICKWOOD
worked for most of his career as
a journalist before joining the
International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) as a press officer
in 2001 where he worked for
eight years. He has been
working for CTBTO Public
Information since October 2009.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
Natalie Brely meets with Ilse
Adonis (centre) from the South
African Permanent Mission
and Rael Sheti (left) from the
IMS, to discuss the timely and
cost free customs clearance of
IMS equipment in South Africa.
Photo: Pablo Mehlhorn
22
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Employment opportunities for women
The Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO) is
currently establishing a global
verification regime to monitor
compliance with the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. Great progress
has been made since 1996 thanks to the
extensive skills and experience of the
CTBTO’s international workforce.
As we strive to reach our goal to
end all nuclear explosions once and
for all, we welcome applications
from suitably qualified individuals
committed to helping us achieve
this objective. Qualified women
candidates are highly encouraged to
apply. Exciting opportunities exist for
professionals in a range of disciplines,
and we are particularly interested in
candidates with strong scientific and
technical backgrounds.
Our strength lies in the
quality Of Our peOple.
Visit our website now for more
information. www.ctbto.org
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CTBTO
(as of 02/05/11)
UNIDO (Vienna)
(as of 02/05/11)
OPCW
(as of 31/07/10)
IAEA
(as of 02/05/11)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Professional
General Service
Total
Male
Female
Male
Female
OSCE
(as of 02/05/11)
32%
68%
40%
60% 71% 77% 77%
29%
23% 23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CTBTO
(as of 02/05/11)
UNIDO (Vienna)
(as of 02/05/11)
OPCW
(as of 31/07/10)
IAEA
(as of 02/05/11)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Professional
General Service
Total
Male
Female
Male
Female
OSCE
(as of 02/05/11)
32%
68%
40%
60% 71% 77% 77%
29%
23% 23%
IAEA – International Atomic Energy Agency
OPCW – Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons
OSCE – Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe
UNIDO – United Nations Industrial Development Organization
At the beginning of February 2011, seven of the 37 senior management
staff at the CTBTO were women. Back row – left to right: Natalie Brely,
Lisa Tabassi, Regina Kusuma, Grace Okungu, Silvia Alamo. Front row – left
to right: Hongmei Deng and Annika Thunborg.
Celebrating International Women's Day at the CTBTO, 8 March 2011.
PROPORTION OF PROFESSIONAL WOMEN AT
VARIOUS INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
PROPORTION OF REGULAR STAFF MEMBERS
AT THE CTBTO BY GENDER AS OF MAY 2011
23
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Every day the global network of monitoring
stations of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-
Ban Treaty (CTBT) transmits around 10 gigabytes
of data to the International Data Centre (IDC)
in Vienna. This vast amount of data needs to be
reviewed by a team of highly trained analysts in
order to help determine whether an ambiguous
event has taken place and whether such an
event may have been a nuclear explosion.
IDC analysts review an average
of 30,000 waveform events a
year, the majority of which
are earthquakes, and analyze
approximately 20,000 radionuclide
spectra. Analyzing the data
requires great technical expertise
combined with considerable
experience and careful judgment.
Of the 25 current analysts at the
IDC, nine are women (temporary and
regular staff) from a diverse range of
countries, reflecting the commitment
of the Preparatory Commission for
the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-
Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) to
ensuring a wide and well-balanced
geographical distribution of staff.
I first came to the Preparatory
Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
(CTBTO) in 2001 to participate in a
training course for analysts at the
International Data Centre (IDC). After
completing the course, I was offered
a position as an associate analyst at
the IDC where I remained for seven
years. In 2008, I had a complete
change of scenery when I moved to
London to work for a company in the
oil and gas industry. Although I had
an interesting job there, I missed the
international environment that I had
become used to in Vienna and the
work being carried out by the CTBTO.
GEOPHYSICIST MARCELA VILLARROEL
IS PROUD OF HER WORK, HELPING TO MAKE THE WORLD A SAFER PLACE
»The magnitude
9.0 earthquake that
struck Japan on
11 March was the
fourth largest ever
recorded and our
workload increased
by 600 percent in
the period directly
afterwards.«
Making
sense
of it all
Three data analysts
talk about the
challenges and
rewards of working
at the International
Data Centre
BY DENISE
BRETTSCHNEIDER
24
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
By banning nuclear explosions in all
environments, the CTBT is helping to
make the world a more secure place. I
am deeply committed to the goals of
the CTBT, so when I was offered the
opportunity to return to the IDC as
a lead analyst in August 2010, I was
very happy.
As a geophysicist, working as a
waveform data analyst at the CTBTO is
a unique and challenging experience:
monitoring data are collected by more
than 240 waveform stations worldwide
and transmitted daily to the IDC in
Vienna for analysis. No organization
anywhere else in the world carries out
similar work on this scale!
In order to perform interactive
waveform analysis with a high degree
of confidence, it’s essential to have a
strong geophysical background and
many years of experience. It’s really
important that you’re familiar with each
one of the monitoring stations that
are part of the IMS network as well as
the global seismicity. This is because
data collected at the stations will look
different depending on a number of
factors such as the source location,
distance to the station, local structure
around the station etc…and you need
to understand all of this to be able to
build valid events with minimum error.
Considering that we cover the whole
world and that we have a huge number
of stations to look at, it means that
it may take several years before you
become a good analyst.
An average of 160 events are
recorded every day, which the team
of analysts here at the IDC will
check and decide to validate so that
they can either be included in the
Reviewed Event Bulletin or discarded
as bogus events.
You never know what’s going to
happen next in terms of seismicity. The
magnitude 9.0 earthquake that struck
Japan on 11 March was the fourth
largest ever recorded and our workload
increased by 600 percent in the period
directly afterwards. Working as an
analyst at the IDC can be stressful but I
like the atmosphere within my team. We
all support each other and we all work
towards the same objective.
When I look around, I consider
myself very lucky to be able to carry
out technical work in an organization
that provides women with equal
opportunities. Vienna is also a nice
and secure city to live in and I
love the cultural diversity and the
possibility of communicating in the
many different languages spoken
here. All in all I’m very proud to be
part of the CTBTO family.
»Monitoring data are
collected by more
than 240 waveform
stations worldwide
and transmitted
daily to the IDC in
Vienna for analysis.
No organization
anywhere else in
the world carries
out similar work
on this scale!«
Seismogram of the 11
March 2011 earthquake
recorded at the IMS
seismic station Mawson
in the Antarctic.
25
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
I come from Zimbabwe where there
are not that many women with PhDs
in geophysics – people used to joke
that I must be the only woman in the
country to hold a PhD in Seismology.
After completing my studies, I became
a lecturer in the department of Physics
at the University of Zimbabwe as well
as a visiting lecturer in Geophysics at
the University of the Witwatersrand in
Johannesburg, South Africa. My previous
jobs were very different to my current
position at the CTBTO. As a lecturer I
used to teach and conduct research. Now
I analyze waveform data, lots of it!
It all started in 1999 in Washington
DC when a colleague mentioned that she
was applying to become an analyst at the
CTBTO in Vienna. A couple of years later,
looking for a career change, I contacted my
friend who had been hired by the CTBTO
upon completion of the International Data
Centre (IDC) analysts’ training course.
She advised me to apply and I joined the
organization in May 2007.
As a data analyst, I have to make
sure that Member States receive a
reviewed bulletin of all the events that
have been detected by CTBT monitoring
stations – an REB – within 10 days. So
my job is challenging in that we are
constantly chasing deadlines: we have
SEISMOLOGIST JANE GORE
FINDS HERSELF AT THE CUTTING EDGE OF DATA ANALYSIS
AFTER A CHANGE OF CAREER AND LOCATION
to produce a high quality data bulletin
for Member States in a timely manner
which can mean working very long
hours and at weekends, if necessary.
When Japan's massive earthquake
struck the north-east coast of the country
on 11 March and triggered a huge tsunami,
the number of events we included that
day in the REB increased to 816. And
the following day there were 840 events.
Considering that the average daily figure is
160 events, it meant that we had to work
round the clock to make sure that Member
States received the REB.
Even prior to 11 March, this year
had been exceptionally busy. By the end
of February we had already analyzed
the equivalent of about one-third of
the events normally analyzed in a
whole working year! This was due to a
particularly high number of events –
mainly earthquakes – occurring after the
Christmas break.
One of the most memorable days since
I’ve been here was 25 May 2009. At 5 in the
morning, my phone suddenly rang. It was
the office. Some of my colleagues at the IDC
had been following monitoring data which
had been arriving in Vienna and indicated
that there was a suspicious event located
in the Democratic People’s Republic of
Korea, which could be a nuclear explosion.
I was among the group of analysts who
performed the initial analysis of the event.
This event was well recorded by IMS stations
around the world: 61 IMS seismic stations
detected signals, with 59 of these stations
contributing to the location of the event.
It’s very rewarding to work for an
organization which is committed to making
the world a safer place by banning all
nuclear explosions. I also enjoy the cultural
diversity and the opportunity to meet people
from every corner of the globe. It has been
interesting to learn how other people relate to
issues and solve problems.
»By the end of
February we had
already analyzed
the equivalent of
about one-third
of the events
normally analyzed
in a whole
working year! «
Spectrum acquired
from the IMS
radionuclide noble
gas station in
Reunion in the
Indian Ocean.
26
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
_______________
[1] Fission products are usually radioactive.
Activation products are materials made
radioactive by neutron activation.
PHYSICIST CARLA PIRES
IS PART OF THE TEAM THAT HELPS DEVELOP
RADIONUCLIDE MEASUREMENT CAPABILITIES
Before I joined the IDC, I worked
mainly in the field of radiological
protection and nuclear safety. After
graduating in Physics in 1998, I
spent three and a half years working
in an environmental laboratory at
the Instituto Tecnológico e Nuclear
in Portugal. I also gained valuable
knowledge in 2001 at the Radiation
and Nuclear Safety Authority in
Finland, such as learning about sample
analysis and the type of software used
in the laboratory. Then in June 2002, I
was fortunate enough to be offered a
position as an associate analyst in the
Radionuclide Monitoring Unit of the
IDC at the CTBTO.
Being an analyst has been a great
opportunity to increase my knowledge
in the field of gamma spectroscopy
and related issues. The work is very
different to my previous jobs as I’m
far away from measuring systems.
In 2003 I became responsible for
testing new International Monitoring
System (IMS) radionuclide particulate
stations. This work has been
fascinating and has allowed me to
familiarize myself with radionuclide
systems being used in a number of
countries around the world. I’ve
gained a wealth of knowledge and
experience about the different
types of spectra acquired by various
detection systems and have learned
more about the telltale signs of
malfunctioning devices.
In July 2008, I was promoted
to radionuclide lead analyst and
in 2010 I started reviewing the
radionuclide noble gas spectra from
gamma and beta-gamma systems. My
job mainly involves identifying the
radiation emitters responsible for the
peaks observed in the radionuclide
spectra. I also helped test the first
radionuclide noble gas station that
was certified in August last year
and I’m part of the team that tests
radionuclide software and contributes
to its improvement.
Over the last eight years, I’ve
sometimes had to work very late or
over the weekend as there are constant
deadlines to be met. For example,
the other evening I left work at 20:00
because I needed to finish checking
the data sent by one of the IMS
radionuclide laboratories, the eleventh
laboratory due for certification this
year. These laboratories provide
independent analysis of radionuclide
particulate samples – only samples
with specific radionuclides are sent
there for repeat measurements to
confirm the presence of fission and/
or activation radionuclides
1
. When
the devastating tsunami disabled the
emergency generators required to cool
the reactors at the Fukushima nuclear
power plant in Japan on 11 March, I
had to cancel my trip to the laboratory
and the testing of the radionuclide
software was postponed.
The development of the global
monitoring system informs people
all over the world about radionuclide
measurement capabilities in other
countries. I’m honoured to be part of a
team that has helped create a database
of worldwide information. We have
gained knowledge and experience
which is possible thanks to the Treaty,
CTBTO staff and the National Data
Centres. I hope in the future more
studies are conducted with our data to
increase our expertise.
DENISE BRETTSCHNEIDER
has been working for CTBTO Public
Information since May 2008. She
has a number of years of editorial
experience working for
international organizations in
Nairobi, Kenya, including the
United Nations Educational,
Scientific and Cultural Organization.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
The IDC categorizes samples measured by
IMS facilities based on the radionuclides
detected into the following levels:
LEVEL 1:
Only radionuclides from natural sources
detected.
LEVEL 2:
Radionuclides from natural sources
detected at anomalous concentrations.
LEVEL 3:
Radionuclides from manmade sources
detected that are frequently observed
by that particular station (e.g. from
hospitals).
LEVEL 4:
One type of radionuclide that is relevant to
CTBT verification detected.
LEVEL 5:
More than one type of radionuclide
detected that are relevant to CTBT
verification of which one is a fission
product (such as Cs-137, I-131, Ba-140,
La-140 or Te-132).
RADIONUCLIDE
LEVELS
27
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
TWO MAIN TYPES OF DATA:
WAVEFORM AND RADIONUCLIDE
Three of the technologies employed by
the IMS - seismology, hydroacoustics and
infrasound – are called waveform. Waveform
stations monitor and record the movement
of energy that is generated by certain events
and propagates as seismic waves or acoustic
waves through the Earth, the oceans or the
atmosphere. As of 16 May 2011, almost 80
percent of these stations were operational
and sending data to the IDC. Waveform
data can help identify the location of an
event and determine whether it was natural
or manmade. Natural phenomena include
earthquakes, submarine volcanic eruptions,
meteorites, explosive volcanoes and storms,
while manmade events can include mining
and chemical explosions, aircraft, re-entering
space debris, oil exploration, and military
exercises.
The fourth technology employed by the
IMS is radionuclide monitoring, which can
confirm whether an event detected and located
by the other technologies is indicative of a
nuclear test. Radionuclide stations measure the
abundance of radionuclides in the air. These
include radioactive particles and noble gases
such as xenon. As of 16 May 2011, 75 percent
of the radionuclide stations were operational.
Each radionuclide monitoring station sends
a preliminary gamma ray spectrum to the
IDC every two hours. The final spectrum
which undergoes analysis at the IDC is a
two-dimensional plot showing the type and
number of radionuclides observed in a sample
obtained from a filter that has been exposed to
air for about 24 hours.
DATA PRODUCTS FOR
MEMBER STATES
A number of products containing
information about events recorded by
IMS facilities are made available to CTBTO
Member States in the form of automatically
generated lists of all the events that have
been detected followed by more refined lists
that have undergone meticulous analysis.
1. S T ANDARD EVENT LISTS AND
AUTOMATIC RADIONUCLIDE REPORTS
The first data processing occurs as soon as
waveform data arrive at the IDC, resulting in
the production of Standard Event Lists (SELs).
These lists are generated automatically every
20 minutes throughout the year by specially
designed computer programmes. SELs include
location estimates for events formed from
signals recorded at IMS waveform stations.
Improvements to the initial bulletin
are made as more data arrive in Vienna and
are processed. The IDC issues three SELs at
different time intervals in order to provide
progressively improved location estimates.
The first list – SEL1 – is issued within two
hours of ‘real time’, followed by SEL2 after
about four hours and SEL3 after six hours.
The initial processing of radionuclide
data is also automatic and the results are listed
in the Automatic Radionuclide Report. After
automatic analysis, the results are refined by
IDC analysts during interactive review.
2. R EVIEWED EVENT BULLETIN AND REVIEWED
RADIONUCLIDE REPORT
In order to provide reliable and
comprehensive information to Member
States, every single event listed in SEL3
is reviewed by IDC analysts. During this
process, analysts discard just over one-third
of the automatically produced events. The
confirmed and corrected events and signal
measurements at each station that detected
an event are listed in the Reviewed Event
Bulletin (REB). The REB is produced daily and
contains an average of 160 events.
Radionuclide data take much longer to
be collected and analyzed so data analysis
takes place on a different timescale. After
reviewing the Automatic Radionuclide
Report, analysts produce the Reviewed
Radionuclide Report.
3. S T ANDARD SCREENED EVENT BULLETIN
The next bulletin is the result of an automatic
screening process in which natural events
such as earthquakes are discarded and
manmade events remain. The Standard
Screened Event Bulletin thus contains
all events that are considered potentially
suspicious in the CTBT verification context.
The findings of the screening
process for radionuclide data are
presented in the Standard Screened
Radionuclide Event Bulletin.
ANALYZING DATA AT THE INTERNATIONAL DATA CENTRE
SOME OF THE KEY
RADIONUCLIDES
BARIUM-140 (Ba-140)
has a half-life of 12.8 days. The
half-life is the time for half of the
radionuclide's material to decay. Ba-
140 decays into lanthanum-140 (La-
140), which has a half life of 1.7 days.
By analyzing the activity ratio of
these two radionuclides, the time of a
nuclear explosion can be established.
CAESIUM-134 (Cs-134)
has a half-life of 2.1 years. Only a
small amount of Cs-134 is produced by
nuclear weapon testing but it
accumulates in nuclear reactors. It can
therefore be used to distinguish
between releases from nuclear weapon
testing and nuclear power plants.
CAESIUM-137 (Cs-137):
has a half-life of 30.1 years. This is the
most common radioactive form of
caesium and is produced by nuclear
fission. Cs-137 is one of the major
radionuclides in spent nuclear fuel and
radioactive wastes associated with the
operation of nuclear reactors and fuel
reprocessing plants. Large amounts of
Cs-137 and other radioactive isotopes
were released into the environment by
atmospheric nuclear weapon tests
between 1945 and 1980. Cs-137 did not
occur in nature before nuclear weapon
testing began.
IODINE-131 (I-131):
has a half-life of 8.0 days. I-131 is a
radioactive isotope released into the
environment mostly in gaseous form
as a result of the atmospheric testing
of nuclear weapons and accidents
that have occurred at nuclear power
plants (e.g. the Chernobyl nuclear
power plant in 1986 and the
Fukushima power plant in March
2011). It was a significant contributor
to the effects on human health from
atmospheric nuclear weapon testing
and from the Chernobyl disaster.
TELLURIUM-132 (Te-132):
has a half life of 76 hours. It is
produced by nuclear fission and is
released in gaseous form in hot
conditions after a nuclear power plant
accident or nuclear test. It decays to
iodine-132 (I-132), which has a half-
life of 2.3 hours. I-132 contributes
significantly to the effects on human
health during the first few days after
the nuclear reaction has stopped.
XENON-133 (Xe-133):
has a half-life of 5.2 days. It does not
occur in nature but is released from
nuclear power plants and nuclear
weapon testing. As a noble gas,
xenon-133 does not react with other
materials and only poses a very small
risk to human health when released
into the atmosphere.
28
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
Over recent months, I’ve been
responsible for organizing and
conducting follow-up technical visits
to National Data Centres (NDCs) in
North and West Africa, as part of
the Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization's (CTBTO) Capacity
Building Project in Africa. The project
provides technical assistance to Member
States on the continent so that they can
participate fully in and contribute to the
implementation of the monitoring and
verification system of the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) .
The project includes Member States
which have yet to ratify the Treaty. One
of the countries covered is the Republic
of the Congo in Central Africa. With an
area of 342,000 sq km (which is slightly
smaller than Germany), it’s one of the most
urbanized countries on the continent with
around 85 percent of its estimated 3.7
million population living in the main cities.
In October 2010, I travelled to the
capital, Brazzaville, in the southeast
of the country to carry out a technical
visit. The purpose was twofold:
firstly, to provide selected personnel
at the Ministry of Defence with the
skills necessary to establish and
improve their NDC capabilities; and
secondly, to coordinate a two-day
NDC Sub-Regional Development
Workshop designed to enhance
awareness of the CTBT and provide a
forum for the exchange of experiences
and expertise related to establishing
an NDC. The visit was of particular
importance because it was the first
time that Congo had participated
in any training course or workshop
organized by the CTBTO. The Director
of the International Data Centre (IDC)
Division, Lassina Zerbo, played a key
role in facilitating the activities when
he previously travelled to Congo to
meet with the national authorities.
IMPORTANCE OF HIGH-
LEVEL SUPPORT
My colleague, Mario Villagran,
flew to Brazzaville a week before
me in order to install the necessary
Capacity Building System equipment
at the NDC. When I arrived in Congo
on 6 October, my first assignment
was to meet with the Minister of
Defence, Charles Zacharie Bowao,
and representatives from the national
authorities. It’s imperative to secure
high-level backing for the training
activities to succeed. Since many
countries in sub-Saharan Africa are
confronted with a number of pressing
issues related to development,
health and education, they need to
understand why the CTBT is important.
The fact that Congo signed the
CTBT on 11 February 1997 means
that it has access to all monitoring
data and analysis reports as well
as to technical training courses
offered by the CTBTO. During
my discussions with the Minister,
I explained that in addition to
the verification regime’s primary
purpose of Treaty verification,
CTBT monitoring data offer a range
of potential civil and scientific
benefits which can contribute to
sustainable development, knowledge
expansion and human welfare. In
A New Link in
the Data Chain
The Congo’s National
Data Centre is a model
for the region
BY MISRAK FISSEHA
Misrak Fisseha trains an NDC
analyst during the two-week
Middle East and South Asia
training course, December 2010
Photo: Pablo Mehlhorn
29
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
the case of Congo, for example,
data could be used to help improve
aviation safety by detecting volcanic
explosions, for contributing to
climate change research, or for
maritime surveillance, which could
be useful in view of Congo’s short
Atlantic coastline. I also stressed how
the planned workshop would be a
significant event for the whole of the
Central African sub-region.
The Minister was clearly
convinced of the importance of
the CTBT and the capacity building
activities as he provided the necessary
support and concluded our discussion
by saying: “La connaissance n’a pas
de prix. C’est l'ignorance qui nous
coûte cher.[Knowledge has no price.
It’s ignorance that costs us a lot.]
MAXIMUM INTERACTION
DURING INTENSIVE TRAINING
Having secured the full backing of
the Minister of Defence, I was able
to proceed with the NDC training
activity on 6 October. This was a
five-day intensive programme for
five personnel from the Ministry of
Defence and the NDC manager. We
restricted the number of participants
in order to ensure maximum retention
and interaction. Operating an NDC
requires years of experience so
intensive training provides personnel
with the necessary basics for the
day-to-day operation of an NDC
and the use of the Capacity Building
System, as well as the routine use of
monitoring data and analysis reports.
OVERCOMING
INFRASTRUCTURAL
CHALLENGES
During my stay, I had to contend with
a few infrastructural problems. For
example, internet access is limited in
Congo and there are intermittent power
cuts. We overcame these problems by
downloading seven gigabytes of data
prior to the course so that it could be
saved for training purposes. When I
arrived at the Ministry, there were only
two computers available for the course.
For efficient training, each participant
needs their own computer so one of my
first tasks was to organize additional
computers for all trainees, which was
made possible with the assistance of
the Ministry of Defence.
Congo’s NDC, which was built
from scratch, became operational during
my visit, making it the first country in
the Central African sub-region to have a
fully established NDC.
The training went extremely
well. Participants learned how to use
monitoring data and analysis reports
and how to operate the NDC-in-a-box
software. I also informed trainees
about the CTBTO, the Treaty and the
verification regime and participants
acquired a basic understanding about
how the International Monitoring
System and IDC operate, and the
fundamentals of the four verification
technologies used to verify compliance
with the CTBT (seismology, infrasound,
hydroacoustics and radionuclide
monitoring).
In order to strengthen the training
skills of the participants, I copied all of
the presentations, e-learning modules
etc. on to the local disk so that it can
be used as a knowledge repository for
ALGERIA
ANGOLA
BENIN
BOTSWANA
BURKINA FASO
BURUNDI
CAMEROON
CENTRAL
AFRICAN
REPUBLIC
CHAD
COMOROS
CONGO
CÔTE D'IVOIRE
DEMOCRATIC
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
DJIBOUTI
EGYPT
EQUATORIAL
GUINEA
ERITREA
ETHIOPIA
GABON
GAMBIA
GHANA
GUINEA
GUINEA-BISSAU
KENYA
LESOTHO
LIBERIA
LIBYAN
ARAB
JAMAHIRIYA
MADAGASCAR
MALAWI
MALI
MAURITANIA
MOROCCO
MOZAMBIQUE
NAMIBIA
NIGER
NIGERIA
RWANDA
SAO TOME
AND PRINCIPE
SENEGAL
SIERRA LEONE
SOMALIA
SOUTH AFRICA
SUDAN
SWAZILAND
TOGO
TUNISIA
UGANDA
UNITED REPUBLIC
OF TANZANIA
ZAMBIA
ZIMBABWE
NATIONAL DATA CENTRES IN AFRICA
30
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
A total of 23 countries in Africa (in green)
hosted a National Data Centre as of 16 May 2011.
the Congo-NDC staff. The trainees can
continue to practice using the materials
at hand like e-learning courses in their
own time. The participants were able
to derive maximum benefit from the
training since the programme was
tailored to address the basic set of skills
and was conducted in French, which is
the official language of Congo.
It was a very rewarding
experience that was made possible
through the total commitment and
support of the IDC Director and
our Congo counterparts, including
the Ministry of Defence. This
allowed us to set up an NDC and
carry out essential training in a
relatively short period of time,
despite the challenges.
UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
FOR PARTICIPANTS TO
SHARE EXPERIENCES
Upon completion of the NDC
training course, I helped coordinate
a regional NDC workshop. This
event was supported by the
Ministry of Defense and took place
at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
from 14 to 15 October. It was
attended by 44 participants from six
countries in the region: Benin, Chad,
Central African Republic, Congo,
Democratic Republic of Congo and
Gabon, as well as CTBTO staff. Of
these countries, Chad and Congo
still need to ratify the Treaty and
the benefits of ratification were
highlighted during the workshop.
Another aim of the workshop was
to inform participants about the
potential civil and scientific uses
of monitoring data, and to foster
cooperation between the CTBTO and
representatives from the region.
It was the first workshop of its
kind to be conducted in French and
provided a unique opportunity for
participants to exchange experiences
and expertise related to the
establishment and operation of NDCs.
The CONGO-NDC trainees
were also able to demonstrate
their newly acquired skills to fellow
participants. The Congo-NDC became
officially operational after the
opening ceremony.
A MODEL FOR
CENTRAL AFRICA
By the time my technical
visit ended, it was clear that the
Congo-NDC could be used as a model
for other beneficiary Member States
covered by the Capacity Building
Project for Central Africa wishing to
establish NDCs. Both the training, the
workshop and Congo-CTBTO relations
received considerable media attention.
The challenge for other States
in the region will be to replicate the
success of the Congo-NDC, which
is now engaged in a long term
commitment with the CTBTO. In order
to ensure the NDC’s sustainability and
the increased use of CTBT monitoring
data, bulletins and analyses, it is
expected that this partnership will be
consolidated by the experience gained
by NDC staff and further training
courses. It will also be important in
the future to provide venues for the
exchange of experiences with other
institutions for both bilateral and
regional cooperation.
Misrak Fisseha (sitting) attends a high level meeting with
the Minister of Defence, Charles Zacharie Bowao (head
of the table), and his cabinet, 6 October 2010.
31
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
MISRAK FISSEHA
works in Capacity Building and
Training at the International Data
Centre Division at the CTBTO. Under
the Capacity Building Project, her
work mainly involves extensive
travelling to countries in North and
West Africa to train National Data
Centre staff, sharing the knowledge
and expertise that she has
accumulated over the decade she has
worked for the CTBTO.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE
ACCESSING MONITORING
DATA, BULLETINS
AND ANALYSES
One of the unique features of the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty (CTBT) is the real time
provision of information directly
to participating States. Member
States have open, equal, timely
and convenient access to all
monitoring data, bulletins and
analyses (these products are
described on page 28). Currently,
the Preparatory Commission for
the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-
Ban-Treaty Organization (CTBTO)
provides such products to 120
Member States and over 1,200
scientific and academic users. In
addition to test-ban verification,
the data and analyses can offer
civil and scientific benefits such
as for tsunami warnings and
radiation monitoring. (For more
information, please see
www.ctbto.org).
DESIGNATING A
NATIONAL AUTHORITY
The CTBT requires each Member
State to designate a national
authority to liaise with the CTBTO
and other Member States. The
national authority can facilitate
the establishment and operation
of a National Data Centre (NDC)
to manage the exchange of data
with the International Data Centre
(IDC) in Vienna.
THE ROLE OF THE
NATIONAL DATA
CENTRE (NDC)
An NDC is an organization with
technical competence in the
CTBT verification technologies
working under the guidance of a
national authority.
The NDC provides technical
advice to the national authority.
Monitoring experts at the NDC
review and refine the analysis
results provided by the IDC,
leading to the identification of
ambiguous events. Based on these
results, each Member State makes
its own national assessment and
final judgment regarding the
nature of an event, in accordance
with the Treaty.
The relationship between
the IDC and the NDC is a two
way process. A Member State
can request the IDC to provide
technical assistance to develop
the NDC’s capability to receive,
process and analyze monitoring
data. At the same time, NDCs
are required to provide feedback
to improve the quality of data
bulletins and analyses and thus
support the work of the CTBTO.
NDC TRAINING
ACTIVITIES AND
THE CAPACITY
BUILDING PROJECT
Training sessions especially
designed for NDC technical staff
and station operators are offered
to support the functions and
operation of NDCs.
One of the courses offered
by the IDC is the two-week NDC
training course, which aims to:
1. Provide sufficient knowledge
and assistance related to
the establishment and
strengthening of NDCs.
2. Train participants in the
retrieval and analysis
methods of monitoring
data and IDC bulletins and
analyses.
3. Show participants how to
install and use the NDC-in-
a-box software, which the
IDC has developed to enable
NDCs to receive, process and
analyze monitoring data.
Courses and workshops are
organized around the world on a
regional basis and are open to all
Member States. Such activities
also provide a venue for
regional bilateral or multilateral
cooperation. More information
about upcoming activities is
available at www.ctbto.org.
To help Member States
fulfil their verification
responsibilities, the CTBTO
launched a capacity building
project in 2008 in cooperation
with the European Union
to help beneficiary States
strengthen their NDC
capabilities.
NDC FOLLOW UP
TECHNICAL VISITS
Visiting NDCs for five working
days to provide on-the-job
training is one part of the
technical assistance provided
by the CTBTO to Member
States. Interaction with the
national authorities during
the follow-up visit helps the
CTBTO to understand the
current needs, interests and
perceptions of the State.
The usage of data can be
subsequently reviewed to
assess how the NDC is building
upon the knowledge acquired
during the visit. Member States
appreciate this type of training
as it is customized to address
the particular needs and
interests of the NDC in its own
working environment.
BACKGROUND
32
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
On 17 February 2011, Portugal
became the 40th State to conclude
a facility agreement with the
Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO).
After signing the agreement on
behalf of the Government of Portugal,
Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs
and Cooperation, João Gomes Cravinho,
spoke to Lisa Tabassi and Fanny Tonos
Paniagua from the CTBTO Legal Services.
Could you describe Portugal’s
participation in the activities of the
CTBTO?
Portugal has always been a strong
supporter of the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT)
and has been very active within
the CTBTO. It is a member of the
Conference on Disarmament, where
the Treaty was negotiated. It has
three stations in its territory, all
of them located in Azores, thus
making Portugal one of the few
Member States hosting International
CTBTO. With the agreement we have
now signed, numerous problems that
could have arisen in the development
of the post-certification activities of
the stations, namely bureaucratic ones,
will be waived. We consider that there
is still a long way to go regarding the
remaining 49 States that have not yet
signed a facility agreement and we
commend the CTBTO for its work so
far and fully endorse its continuation.
With this agreement, relations between
Portugal and the CTBTO, which were
already excellent, will be sustained and
developed. The facility agreement will
ensure that our National Data Centre
(NDC) will be able to accomplish its
task as well, namely sending monitoring
data to the International Data Centre
(IDC) in Vienna and receiving data and
analyses from the IDC.
There has been remarkable progress in
the build-up of the IMS since the Treaty
opened for signature in September 1996.
Of the planned 337 IMS facilities, 264
are already operational and sending
data to the IDC. At the same time,
however, challenges remain.
Monitoring System (IMS) facilities
in the middle of the North Atlantic.
Portugal always participates in the
meetings of different groups of
the CTBTO, including, at present,
the Advisory Group
1
. Portugal is
represented at the CTBTO by highly
qualified professionals who act
entirely independently. We are always
available to cooperate with the CTBTO,
as our participation in different
workshops has proved. Moreover,
being a Member of the European
Union we are also responsible for
the approval of significant voluntary
contributions to the CTBTO.
How do you think the conclusion of
this facility agreement will further
improve collaboration between
Portugal and the CTBTO?
From the very beginning, we have been
in favour of this kind of agreement
which facilitates the development of
good relations between Portugal and the
INTERVIEW
Portugal and
the CTBTO:
Going forward
together
The importance
of putting facility
agreements in place
_______________
[1] The Advisory Group advises the CTBTO and its
subsidiary bodies on financial, budgetary and
associated administrative issues.
Portugal's Secretary of State João Gomes Cravinho (left) and Tibor
Tóth, Executive Secretary of the CTBTO, after signing the facility
agreement, Vienna, Austria, 17 February 2011.
Photo: Pablo Mehlhorn
33
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
»The facility
agreements are
one of the best
tools to make sure
that States comply
with their legal,
administrative
and technical
obligations
regarding the
stations.«
WHAT IS A FACILITY AGREEMENT?
A legal arrangement between the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) and each Member State that hosts an
International Monitoring System (IMS) facility. The IMS is a global network of facilities
being established by the CTBTO to monitor underground, the oceans and the atmosphere
for evidence of a nuclear explosion.
By signing facility agreements, Member States agree to cooperate with the CTBTO in
establishing, testing, operating, upgrading and maintaining IMS facilities, even before the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) has entered into force.
WHY ARE THEY IMPORTANT?
Facility agreements help to address the following issues:
Political aspects:
By representing the formal commitment of a Member State to host the facility and
cooperate with the CTBTO during the preparatory phase, the facility agreement helps to
secure the collaboration of all relevant institutions at the national level for the installation
and operation of the stations.
Legal aspects:
The CTBT stipulates that while IMS stations are owned and operated by the hosting State,
they are under the authority of the CTBTO (meaning that they must adhere to regulations
laid out in the CTBT and developed further by the CTBTO). Issues such as ownership
transfer, the conclusion of subsidiary arrangements with local operators, and granting
the necessary privileges and immunities to the CTBTO and its officials are provided for in
facility agreements.
Technological aspects:
In order for the IMS to operate reliably, all facilities have to work in accordance with the
requirements and procedures agreed on by the Treaty negotiators for the respective
verification technologies (seismology, infrasound, hydroacoustics and radionuclide
monitoring). Under facility agreements the host State undertakes to test, operate and
maintain the facility, as well as to provide utilities and transmit monitoring data to the
International Data Centre (IDC) at the CTBTOs headquarters in Vienna, in accordance with
requirements and procedures.
O perational aspects:
Facility agreements help ensure coordination between the CTBTO and countries hosting
IMS facilities with regard to technical visits by CTBTO staff, access to the station, the
cooperation of local entities, assistance with imports and exports, notification and solving
of problems, and the physical security of the facility.
HOW MANY FACILITY AGREEMENTS NEED TO BE SIGNED?
A facility agreement needs to be concluded with each of the 89 States hosting IMS facilities.
FACILITY AGREEMENTS
Do you consider that further progress in
the conclusion of facility agreements
with other hosting States would support
the work of the CTBTO in building up
the verification regime and preparing
for entry into force of the CTBT?
Undoubtedly. The facility agreements
are one the best tools to make
sure that States comply with their
legal, administrative and technical
obligations regarding the stations.
However, that does not mean they
will be enough to solve every
problem. The reference to the
operational manuals in the facility
agreements reflects a successful
attempt to make all of the principles
and measures stated in the Treaty a
coherent and efficient system for the
implementation of the Treaty.
What are your Government’s views on
the role of the CTBT and its verification
regime for the maintenance of
international peace and security?
The verification regime of the CTBT
is an extremely important element to
make sure that the world can react in
time to an event that may endanger
34
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
BRAZIL
T
EGYPT
T
ETHIOPIA
IA
IA
FIJI
F
F
F
K
IRIBATI
Y
LIBYAN
Y
ARA
B
A
JAMAHIRIYA
A
AGASCAR
MADA
A
PUA NEW GUINEA
A NEW
A NEW
G
G
S
AMO
A
SOLOMON ISLANDS
DS
NISIA
UNITED STATES OF AMERIC
A
AUSTRALI
A
C
ANADA
N
NAMIBIA
N
NEW ZEALAND
EA
EA
W ZE
W ZE
MAN
PHILIPPINES
P
RUSS
IAN FEDERATI
ON
SOUTH AFRICA
SOUTH AFRIC
SOUTH AFRIC
C
OOK ISLAND
S
PALA
U
international peace and security. We
must always bear in mind that the
system has four components: the IMS,
a consultation and clarification process,
on-site inspections and confidence-
building measures – which are equally
important and they all deserve the same
attention by the CTBTO. In the case of
facility agreements, we consider that,
apart from the advantages for the IMS,
they are also a confidence-building
measure, both for the State that signs
it and for other Member States, as they
serve as an example and clearly define
rules and procedures. It is, however,
mandatory that States fulfill their
obligations arising from both the CTBT
and the facility agreement.
Is there a role for Portugal in the
Portuguese speaking world to encourage
States that have signed but not ratified
the Treaty to take the next step?
The CPLP – Comunidade de Países de
Língua Portuguesa – is an organization
that has been enlarging its scope
because of the very good relations
between its members. Defense is
nowadays an area that also concerns
CPLP. Within this context, but also
bilaterally with its members, Portugal
has always been supportive of all
measures to enhance peace and security.
We shall make extra efforts to help
those States that have not finalized the
procedures for Treaty ratification and we
offer our collaboration to the CTBTO to
accomplish this goal.
JOÃO GOMES CRAVINHO
has been the Secretary of State for Foreign
Affairs and Cooperation of Portugal since
2009. Prior to this he served as Assistant
Professor at the Faculty of Economy,
Coimbra University, Portugal. He has
published extensively in Portuguese and
foreign journals. Dr Cravinho has also
worked in the area of Development
Cooperation. He has served as President
of the Institute for Portuguese
Cooperation and as a consultant to
national and international institutions
(European Commission and World Bank).
LISA TABASSI
joined Legal Services at the
CTBTO in 2007 and was
appointed Chief in 2010. Prior to
this, she worked for 14 years in
the Office of the Legal Adviser of
the Organisation for the
Prohibition of Chemical
Weapons. She has also worked
for law firms in the United States
and Iran and for the Iran-United
States Claims Tribunal in The
Hague, the Netherlands.
FANNY TONOS PANIAGUA
has worked for Legal
Services at the CTBTO
since September 2010.
Prior to this, she worked
for 10 years in the
diplomatic service of the
Dominican Republic
where she specialized in
public international law
and national
implementation of
multilateral treaties.
BIOGRAPHICAL NOTES
The 40 countries in green indicate those that have signed a facility agreement with the CTBTO. The 49 countries in orange indicate those that have yet to sign facility agreements (as of May 2011).
35
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
WORD CLOUD
This word cloud depicts the frequency
with which words have been mentioned
in the articles featured in this edition of
Spectrum: the larger the font, the more
common the word.
Created using wordle (www.wordle.net)
36
CTBTO SPECTRUM 16 | MAY 2011
The Comprehensive
Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT)
bans all nuclear explosions.
It opened for signature
on 24 September 1996 in New York.
As of May 2011, 182 countries had signed the Treaty and 153
had ratified it. Of the 44 nuclear capable States which must
ratify the CTBT for it to enter into force, the so-called Annex
2 countries, 35 have done so to date while nine have yet to
ratify: China, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea,
Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, Israel, Pakistan and
the United States. On 3 May 2010, Indonesia stated that it had
initiated the CTBT ratification process.
The Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-
Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) consists of the States
Signatories and the Provisional Technical Secretariat.
The main tasks of the CTBTO are to promote signatures
and ratifications and to establish a global verification regime
capable of detecting nuclear explosions underground,
underwater and in the atmosphere.
The regime must be operational when the Treaty enters
into force. It will consist of 337 monitoring facilities
supported by an International Data Centre and
on-site inspection measures. As of 16 May 2011 almost
80 percent of the facilities at the International Monitoring
System (IMS) were operational.
cover image:
Pattreeya Thapanapaha from the
Network and Systems Support
Section at the IMS carries out
maintenance work on the VSAT
link of the Global Communications
Infrastructure, Vienna. Austria.
Photo: Marianne Weiss
editor-in-chief:
Annika Thunborg,
Spokesperson and Chief of Public Information
prepared, coordinated and edited by:
Denise Brettschneider
ctbto contributors:
Slava Bereza, John Coyne, Emmy Duran,
Florian Egerer, Jun Hee Lee, Angela Leuker,
Awoba Macheiner, Reiko Matsuda,
Pablo Mehlhorn, Mika Nikkinen, Vasileios Savvidis,
Spiro Spiliopoulos, Victoria Swisher, Robert Werzi,
Samil Yalciner
layout:
Todd Vincent
distribution:
Pablo Mehlhorn
Photographs and illustrations are at the courtesy of the authors
and the Provisional Technical Secretariat.
please visit www.ctbto.org
your resource
for stopping nuclear testing
If you wish to subscribe to the
online version of the ctbto spectrum
please visit the ‘email-alert’ area at www.ctbto.org
disclaimer:
The views expressed in articles by external contributors do
not necessarily reflect the positions and policies of the CTBTO
Preparatory Commission.
The boundaries and presentation of material on maps do not
imply the expression of any opinion on the part of the Provisional
Technical Secretariat concerning the legal status of any country,
territory, city or area or its authorities, or concerning the
delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
published by:
Public Information
Preparatory Commission for the
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban
Treaty Organization (CTBTO)
Vienna International Centre
P.O. Box 1200
1400 Vienna, Austria
t +43 1 26030 6200
f +43 1 26030 5823
e info@ctbto.org
i www.ctbto.org
© 2011 CTBTO Preparatory Commission
CTBTO Spectrum – ISSN: 1680-533X
Printed in Austria, May 2011
on Munken Lynx Paper
wood and acid-free,
certified by the Forest Stewardship Council
WWW.CTBTO.ORG
CTBTO MAGAZINE ISSUE 16 | MAY 2011
CTBTO
SPECTRUM
COMPREHENSIVE
NUCLEAR-TEST-BAN
TREATY: SCIENCE
AND TECHNOLOGY
2
11
8 to 10 June 2011
Hofburg Palace
Vienna, Austria
A SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE
ADDRESSING THE
FOLLOWING THEMES:
1 The Earth as
a complex system
2 Understanding the nuclear
explosion source
3 Advances in sensors,
networks, and observational
technologies
4 Advances in computing,
processing, and visualization
for verification applications
5 Creating knowledge through
partnerships, training and
information/communication
technology
10 JUNE FROM 14:00 TO 16:00
SPECIAL SESSION
The 11 March Japanese
event and its aftermath
For more information please see
WWW.CTBTO.ORG
CTBTO SPECTRUM ISSUE 16 MAY 2011
16
SWITZWELAND’S PRESIDENT AND
MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS
Micheline Calmy-Rey
MOVING FORWARD
ON NUCLEAR NON-
PROLIFERATION
AND DISARMAMENT
HER ROYAL
HIGHNESS PRINCESS
Sumaya bint El Hassan
SAFEGUARDING
THE ARAB
RESISTANCE
NEW ZEALANDS'S
FOREIGN MINISTER
Georgina te Heuheu QSO
THE END OF
NUCLEAR TESTING
IS WITHIN
OUR REACH