likelyindicationofincometobereceivedinthenext12months.Todeterminewhich
isthemostaccurate,youmayneedtoask:
• Is overtimeearnedyear‐roundorjustduringcertainperiods?Forinstance,
Dantemayonlyworkovertimeinthefirstfourmonthsoftheyear,and
thendoesn’tre
ceiveovertimefortheremainderoftheyear.Projectingthe
samerateofovertimefortheentireyearwilloverestimatehisincome.
• Dothenumberofhourswork edperweekfluctuateseasonally?
Alternatively‐ ifDante’sprioryear’sFederalincometaxreturnindicatedheearned
$30,000,thetypeofquestionsaskedwo
uldbequitedifferent:
• Wasthereadditionalovertimelastyear?
• Didyoureceiveabonuslastyear?Ifso,isthatlikelytocontinuethisyear?
• Wereyoudemoted?
• Haveyourhoursbeenreducedthisyearorwasthereaperiodof
unemploymentthisyear?
Comparingtheresultsoftheincomec
alculationmethodshelpidentify anomalies
whichmayimpactwhichmethodisultimatelyusedfortheprojection.Considering
themethodsforDanteaboveatfacevalue,itappearsthathistoricalistheleastlikely
methodtouseandselectingaverageorYTDisprobablythemostreasonableasthey
aretheclosestinra
nge.However,asking thequestionswediscussedmayleadyouto
anotherdecision.Unlikeamathtestwithabsoluteanswers,whenprojectingincome
thereisn’tnecessarilya“right”anda“wrong”answer.Twopeoplelookingatthe
sameinformationmayprojectslightlydifferentincomemethods.Thekeypointisto
ca
lculateallfourmethodswhenapplicable,asktheappropriatequestions,document
theapplicant’sresponses,selecttheincomewhichseemsthemostlikely,andthen
documentyourdeterminationinthecasefile.
Inthisexample,ifapackagerorLoanOriginatorhadrecommendedtouseaverage
incomeasthebasisfortheloan,itwo
uldbereasonablefortheLoanApprovalOfficial
toconcurwiththatdetermination.
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