4
Module 1.1
ge, multicenter AIDS cohort studies aimed at monitoring the natural history
of the disease, blood typically was drawn every six months. There was a poor
understanding of the biological processes that were responsible for the observed
levels of virus in the blood and the rapidity at which the virus became drug re-
sistant. Modeling, coupled with advances in technology, has changed all of
this.” Dynamic modeling not only has revealed important features of HIV
pathogenesis but has advanced the drug treatment regime for AIDS patients
(Perelson and Nelson 1999).
2. Boeing Airline engineers completely designed The Boeing 777 jetliner us-
ing three-dimensional computer graphics. “Preassembly” of the airplane on the
computer at every stage of the design process eliminated the necessity of a
costly, full-scale mock-up and reduced error, adjustments, and revisions by 50
percent (Boeing). The pilots that fly these and other large airplanes train on so-
phisticated, computer flight simulators, which enable the pilots to practice deal-
ing with dangerous situations, such as engine fire and wind shear.
3. From the 1960s, numerical weather prediction has revolutionized forecast-
ing. “Since then, forecasting has improved side-by-side with the evolution of
computing technology, and advances in computing continue to drive better fore-
casting as weather researchers develop improved numerical models” (Pittsburgh
Supercomputing Center 2001).
4. Researchers at the University of Washington’s School of Fisheries are em-
ploying mathematical modeling to examine the impact on fish survival of the
removal of four dams on the lower Snake River. Another team at the Univer-
sity of Tennessee’s Institute for Environmental Modeling is using computa-
tional ecology to study complex options for ecological management of the
Everglades. Louis Gross, Director of the Institute, says that “computational
technology, coupled with mathematics and ecology, will play an ever-increasing
role in generating vital information society needs to make tough decisions about
its surroundings” (Helly et al.).
5. A group of engineers and computer scientists at Carnegie Mellon University
and seismologists from the University of Southern California and the National
University of Mexico is building three-dimensional computer simulations of
ground motion during earthquakes to predict how areas, such as the Greater
Los Angeles Basin, will behave during such a disaster. Using powerful parallel-
processing computer systems, one simulation indicated a complex pattern of
basin ground motion with some sites experiencing nine times greater motion
than others. With such information, scientists can predict the damage in an area
(Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center 1997). Seattle, Washington is another area
prone to earthquakes. The National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program has an
extensive simulation modeling effort to assess the hazards of tsunami threats
after earthquakes in the Puget Sound region so that officials can plan and miti-
gate their dangers (Koshimura and Mofjeld 2001). With computational models,
others have studied the economic impact of disruption to the water supply
caused by an earthquake in the Portland, Oregon region and appropriate re-
sponses to minimize the consequences (Rose and Liao).